Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Harold Fannin Jr. vs Jake FergusonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Harold Fannin Jr. is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.4 PPG to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Harold Fannin Jr. is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Harold Fannin Jr. edges Jake Ferguson by 0.7 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Harold Fannin Jr. goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

Track Harold Fannin Jr. and Jake Ferguson in the DraftCall app and get their updates the moment they change.

Get the App

TECleveland Browns#9PPG LEADER

Harold Fannin Jr.

PPG

9.4

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

731

Rec TDs

Targets

107

Bye

Week 11

TEDallas Cowboys#14

Jake Ferguson

PPG

8.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

600

Rec TDs

Targets

102

Bye

Week 14

The Edge Chart

Harold Fannin Jr.

Jake Ferguson

Head to Head

9.4 PPG8.7 PPG

16 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 11Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Harold Fannin Jr.: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #9 at the position). Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Harold Fannin Jr. is producing at 43% of elite pace and Jake Ferguson at 40%. That ranking gap means Harold Fannin Jr. carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Harold Fannin Jr. vs Jake Ferguson: The Full Breakdown

Harold Fannin Jr. (9.4 PPG) and Jake Ferguson (8.7 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two tight ends are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Harold Fannin Jr. played 16 games for the Cleveland Browns; Jake Ferguson suited up 17 times for the Dallas Cowboys.

A 0.7-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Harold Fannin Jr. had 72 catches for 731 yards; Jake Ferguson posted 82 for 600. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Harold Fannin Jr. sits Week 11 while Jake Ferguson is off Week 14. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Harold Fannin Jr. (age 21) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Harold Fannin Jr. outscored Jake Ferguson by a projected 12 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Jake Ferguson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Harold Fannin Jr.'s 16. That durability gap means Jake Ferguson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Harold Fannin Jr. saw 107 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
•Harold Fannin Jr. is 6 years younger than Jake Ferguson (21 vs 27), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Harold Fannin Jr. vs Jake Ferguson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Harold Fannin Jr.	Jake Ferguson
PPG (Half-PPR)	9.4	8.7
Games Played	16	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	150	148
Receptions	72	82
Rec/Game	4.5	4.8
Receiving Yards	731	600
Rec Yds/Game	45.7	35.3
Receiving TDs	6	8
Targets	107	102
Target Share/Game	6.7	6.0
Age	21	27
Experience	-	3 yrs
Bye Week	Week 11	Week 14

Summary

Harold Fannin Jr. outscored Jake Ferguson by 0.7 PPG in 2025 (9.4 to 8.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Harold Fannin Jr. vs Jake Ferguson

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Launch List

Get the live verdict on Harold Fannin Jr. vs Jake Ferguson

The DraftCall app delivers live game-day verdicts on every matchup. Join the launch list and we will email you the day it goes live for the 2026 NFL season, with your direct iOS and Android install links.

We will never share your email. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Harold Fannin Jr. or Jake Ferguson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Harold Fannin Jr. has the edge at 9.4 PPG compared to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Harold Fannin Jr. and Jake Ferguson average in 2025?▾

Harold Fannin Jr. averaged 9.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.7 points per game.

When are Harold Fannin Jr. and Jake Ferguson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE) has a bye in Week 11, and Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Harold Fannin Jr. or Jake Ferguson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Harold Fannin Jr. outscored Jake Ferguson by 0.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.