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Head to Head

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Aaron Jones vs Antonio GibsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Aaron Jones is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.7 PPG to Antonio Gibson's 7.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Aaron Jones is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Aaron Jones edges Antonio Gibson by 0.8 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Aaron Jones goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBMinnesota Vikings#34PPG LEADER
Aaron Jones
PPG
8.7
Games
12
Rush Yds
548
Rush TDs
2
Rec
28
Rec Yds
199
Bye
Week 6
RBNew England Patriots#99
Antonio Gibson
PPG
7.9
Games
15
Rush Yds
548
Rush TDs
3
Rec
24
Rec Yds
195
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aaron Jones
Antonio Gibson

Head to Head

8.7 PPG7.9 PPG
12 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Jones: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) RB (ranked #34 at the position). Antonio Gibson: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Aaron Jones is producing at 40% of elite pace and Antonio Gibson at 36%. That ranking gap means Aaron Jones carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Jones vs Antonio Gibson: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Aaron Jones finished the 2025 season at 8.7 PPG over 12 games with the Minnesota Vikings, while Antonio Gibson clocked in at 7.9 across 15 appearances for the New England Patriots. A 0.8-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Aaron Jones ran for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns; Antonio Gibson posted 548 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

One scheduling note: Aaron Jones is off Week 6 and Antonio Gibson Week 14. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in running back for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Jones (age 31, 8 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Antonio Gibson (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

  • Aaron Jones outscored Antonio Gibson by a projected 14 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Antonio Gibson played 15 games in 2025 compared to Aaron Jones's 12. That durability gap means Antonio Gibson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Antonio Gibson scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Jones vs Antonio Gibson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAaron JonesAntonio Gibson
PPG (Half-PPR)8.77.9
Games Played1215
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)104119
Rushing Yards548548
Rush Yds/Game45.736.5
Rushing TDs23
Receptions2824
Receiving Yards199195
Targets410
Total TDs34
Age31-
Experience8 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 14

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Aaron Jones holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.7 points per game. Antonio Gibson averaged 7.9 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Jones or Antonio Gibson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Aaron Jones has the edge at 8.7 PPG compared to Antonio Gibson's 7.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Jones and Antonio Gibson average in 2025?

Aaron Jones averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Antonio Gibson averaged 7.9 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 0.8 points per game.

When are Aaron Jones and Antonio Gibson's bye weeks in 2026?

Aaron Jones (MIN) has a bye in Week 6, and Antonio Gibson (NE) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Jones or Antonio Gibson a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Aaron Jones outscored Antonio Gibson by 0.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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