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Head to Head

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Aaron Jones vs Chase BrownWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Chase Brown is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.6 PPG to Aaron Jones's 8.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Chase Brown is the better fantasy play this season.

Chase Brown is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 14.6 PPG and 1,456 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Aaron Jones (8.7 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Chase Brown as the starter and Aaron Jones as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBMinnesota Vikings#34
Aaron Jones
PPG
8.7
Games
12
Rush Yds
548
Rush TDs
2
Rec
28
Rec Yds
199
Bye
Week 6
RBCincinnati Bengals#9PPG LEADER
Chase Brown
PPG
14.6
Games
17
Rush Yds
1,019
Rush TDs
6
Rec
69
Rec Yds
437
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aaron Jones
Chase Brown

Head to Head

8.7 PPG14.6 PPG
12 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Jones: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) RB (ranked #34 at the position). Chase Brown: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) RB (ranked #9 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Aaron Jones is producing at 40% of elite pace and Chase Brown at 66%. That ranking gap means Chase Brown carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Jones vs Chase Brown: The Full Breakdown

Aaron Jones and Chase Brown are both viable fantasy running backs heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Aaron Jones averaged 8.7 PPG across 12 games with the Minnesota Vikings, while Chase Brown posted 14.6 PPG in 17 appearances for the Cincinnati Bengals.

A 5.9-PPG gap gives Chase Brown the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Chase Brown is the receiving back in this matchup, turning 69 targets into 437 yards, while Aaron Jones profiles as a more traditional rusher with 548 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. In PPR and half-PPR formats Chase Brown carries the higher weekly floor. In standard leagues the gap tightens considerably.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 6 bye. That means you need a backup plan at running back for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Chase Brown at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Aaron Jones is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Jones (age 31, 8 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Chase Brown (age 26) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

  • Chase Brown outscored Aaron Jones by a projected 100 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Chase Brown played 17 games in 2025 compared to Aaron Jones's 12. That durability gap means Chase Brown contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Chase Brown scored 11 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Chase Brown caught 69 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
  • Chase Brown is 5 years younger than Aaron Jones (26 vs 31), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Jones vs Chase Brown: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAaron JonesChase Brown
PPG (Half-PPR)8.714.6
Games Played1217
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)104248
Rushing Yards5481,019
Rush Yds/Game45.759.9
Rushing TDs26
Receptions2869
Receiving Yards199437
Targets4188
Total TDs311
Age3126
Experience8 yrs2 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 6

Summary

Chase Brown outscored Aaron Jones by 5.9 PPG in 2025 (14.6 to 8.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Jones or Chase Brown in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Chase Brown has the edge at 14.6 PPG compared to Aaron Jones's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Jones and Chase Brown average in 2025?

Aaron Jones averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Chase Brown averaged 14.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 5.9 points per game.

Do Aaron Jones and Chase Brown share a bye week?

Yes, both Aaron Jones and Chase Brown share a Week 6 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at running back for that week.

Is Aaron Jones or Chase Brown a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Chase Brown outscored Aaron Jones by 5.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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