Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Aaron Jones vs Justice HillWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Aaron Jones is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.7 PPG to Justice Hill's 6.1 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Aaron Jones is the better fantasy play this season.

Aaron Jones has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.6-PPG advantage is real (8.7 to 6.1), and Aaron Jones's 3 touchdowns show scoring upside. Justice Hill is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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RBMinnesota Vikings#34PPG LEADER

Aaron Jones

PPG

8.7

Games

Rush Yds

548

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

199

Bye

Week 6

RBBaltimore Ravens#53

Justice Hill

PPG

6.1

Games

Rush Yds

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

169

Bye

Week 13

The Edge Chart

Aaron Jones

Justice Hill

Head to Head

8.7 PPG6.1 PPG

12 GP9 GP

Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Jones: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) RB (ranked #34 at the position). Justice Hill: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #53 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Aaron Jones is producing at 40% of elite pace and Justice Hill at 28%. That ranking gap means Aaron Jones carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Jones vs Justice Hill: The Full Breakdown

Two running backs who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Aaron Jones (Minnesota Vikings) finished the 2025 season averaging 8.7 fantasy points per game in 12 games. Justice Hill (Baltimore Ravens) came in at 6.1 PPG over 9 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Aaron Jones carries a 2.6-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Aaron Jones ran for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns; Justice Hill posted 93 and 2. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Aaron Jones sits Week 6 while Justice Hill is off Week 13. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Jones (age 31, 8 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Justice Hill (age 28, 6 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Aaron Jones outscored Justice Hill by a projected 44 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Aaron Jones played 12 games in 2025 compared to Justice Hill's 9. That durability gap means Aaron Jones contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Aaron Jones scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Jones vs Justice Hill: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Aaron Jones	Justice Hill
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.7	6.1
Games Played	12	9
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	104	55
Rushing Yards	548	93
Rush Yds/Game	45.7	10.3
Rushing TDs	2	2
Receptions	28	21
Receiving Yards	199	169
Targets	41	27
Total TDs	3	3
Age	31	28
Experience	8 yrs	6 yrs
Bye Week	Week 6	Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Aaron Jones holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.7 points per game. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Jones or Justice Hill in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Aaron Jones has the edge at 8.7 PPG compared to Justice Hill's 6.1 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Jones and Justice Hill average in 2025?▾

Aaron Jones averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG over 9 games. That is a difference of 2.6 points per game.

When are Aaron Jones and Justice Hill's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Aaron Jones (MIN) has a bye in Week 6, and Justice Hill (BAL) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Jones or Justice Hill a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Aaron Jones outscored Justice Hill by 2.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.