Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Aaron Rodgers vs Caleb WilliamsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

Caleb Williams has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.5-PPG advantage is real (18.7 to 14.2), and Caleb Williams's 31 touchdowns show scoring upside. Aaron Rodgers is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#25

Aaron Rodgers

PPG

14.2

Games

Pass Yds

3,322

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 9

QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER

Caleb Williams

PPG

18.7

Games

Pass Yds

3,942

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

383

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Aaron Rodgers

Caleb Williams

Head to Head

14.2 PPG18.7 PPG

16 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Rodgers: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #25 at the position). Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aaron Rodgers is producing at 65% of elite pace and Caleb Williams at 85%. That ranking gap means Caleb Williams carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Rodgers vs Caleb Williams: The Full Breakdown

Aaron Rodgers and Caleb Williams are both viable fantasy quarterbacks heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 PPG across 16 games with the Pittsburgh Steelers, while Caleb Williams posted 18.7 PPG in 17 appearances for the Chicago Bears.

A 4.5-PPG gap gives Caleb Williams the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aaron Rodgers threw for 3322 yards and 24 touchdowns, while Caleb Williams posted 3942 yards and 27 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Aaron Rodgers sits Week 9 while Caleb Williams is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Caleb Williams at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Aaron Rodgers is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Rodgers (age 42) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising.

Did You Know?

•Caleb Williams outscored Aaron Rodgers by a projected 77 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to Aaron Rodgers's 16. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Caleb Williams is 18 years younger than Aaron Rodgers (24 vs 42), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Rodgers vs Caleb Williams: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Aaron Rodgers	Caleb Williams
PPG (Half-PPR)	14.2	18.7
Games Played	16	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	227	318
Passing Yards	3,322	3,942
Passing TDs	24	27
Pass Yds/Game	207.6	231.9
Rushing Yards	61	383
Rushing TDs	1	3
Total TDs	25	31
TDs/Game	1.6	1.8
Age	42	24
Experience	20 yrs	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 9	Week 10

Summary

Caleb Williams outscored Aaron Rodgers by 4.5 PPG in 2025 (18.7 to 14.2). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Caleb Williams in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Rodgers and Caleb Williams average in 2025?▾

Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 4.5 points per game.

When are Aaron Rodgers and Caleb Williams's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Caleb Williams (CHI) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Rodgers or Caleb Williams a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams outscored Aaron Rodgers by 4.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.