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Head to Head

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Aaron Rodgers vs Geno SmithWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Aaron Rodgers is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.2 PPG to Geno Smith's 11.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Aaron Rodgers is the better fantasy play this season.

Aaron Rodgers is the better play on a neutral week. 14.2 PPG with 3,374 yards gives a reliable baseline. Geno Smith at 11.6 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Aaron Rodgers higher, but do not fade Geno Smith entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#25PPG LEADER
Aaron Rodgers
PPG
14.2
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,322
Pass TDs
24
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 9
QBLas Vegas Raiders#34
Geno Smith
PPG
11.6
Games
15
Pass Yds
3,025
Pass TDs
19
Rush Yds
109
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Aaron Rodgers
Geno Smith

Head to Head

14.2 PPG11.6 PPG
16 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Rodgers: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #25 at the position). Geno Smith: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #34 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aaron Rodgers is producing at 65% of elite pace and Geno Smith at 53%. That ranking gap means Aaron Rodgers carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Rodgers vs Geno Smith: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Aaron Rodgers and Geno Smith for your lineup, you are not alone. Aaron Rodgers finished the 2025 season at 14.2 PPG for the Pittsburgh Steelers (16 games), and Geno Smith averaged 11.6 for the Las Vegas Raiders (15 games).

That 2.6-point weekly advantage for Aaron Rodgers is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aaron Rodgers threw for 3322 yards and 24 touchdowns, while Geno Smith posted 3025 yards and 19 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Aaron Rodgers sits Week 9 while Geno Smith is off Week 13. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Rodgers (age 42) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Geno Smith (age 35) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

  • Aaron Rodgers outscored Geno Smith by a projected 44 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Aaron Rodgers played 16 games in 2025 compared to Geno Smith's 15. That durability gap means Aaron Rodgers contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Aaron Rodgers scored 25 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Geno Smith is 7 years younger than Aaron Rodgers (35 vs 42), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Rodgers vs Geno Smith: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAaron RodgersGeno Smith
PPG (Half-PPR)14.211.6
Games Played1615
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)227174
Passing Yards3,3223,025
Passing TDs2419
Pass Yds/Game207.6201.7
Rushing Yards61109
Rushing TDs10
Total TDs2519
TDs/Game1.61.3
Age4235
Experience20 yrs12 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 9Week 13

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Aaron Rodgers at 14.2 PPG, 2.6 points per game above Geno Smith's 11.6. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Geno Smith in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Aaron Rodgers has the edge at 14.2 PPG compared to Geno Smith's 11.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Rodgers and Geno Smith average in 2025?

Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Geno Smith averaged 11.6 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 2.6 points per game.

When are Aaron Rodgers and Geno Smith's bye weeks in 2026?

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Geno Smith (LV) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Rodgers or Geno Smith a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Aaron Rodgers outscored Geno Smith by 2.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.