Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Aaron Rodgers vs Joe BurrowWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Joe Burrow is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 16.8 PPG to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Joe Burrow is the better fantasy play this season.

Joe Burrow has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.6-PPG advantage is real (16.8 to 14.2), and Joe Burrow's 17 touchdowns show scoring upside. Aaron Rodgers is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBPittsburgh Steelers#25

Aaron Rodgers

PPG

14.2

Games

Pass Yds

3,322

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 9

QBCincinnati Bengals#15PPG LEADER

Joe Burrow

PPG

16.8

Games

Pass Yds

1,809

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Aaron Rodgers

Joe Burrow

Head to Head

14.2 PPG16.8 PPG

16 GP8 GP

Bye: Week 9Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Aaron Rodgers: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #25 at the position). Joe Burrow: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #15 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aaron Rodgers is producing at 65% of elite pace and Joe Burrow at 76%. That ranking gap means Joe Burrow carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aaron Rodgers vs Joe Burrow: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Aaron Rodgers (Pittsburgh Steelers) finished the 2025 season averaging 14.2 fantasy points per game in 16 games. Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals) came in at 16.8 PPG over 8 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Joe Burrow carries a 2.6-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aaron Rodgers threw for 3322 yards and 24 touchdowns, while Joe Burrow posted 1809 yards and 17 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Aaron Rodgers has his bye in Week 9, and Joe Burrow rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Aaron Rodgers (age 42) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Joe Burrow (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Joe Burrow outscored Aaron Rodgers by a projected 44 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Aaron Rodgers played 16 games in 2025 compared to Joe Burrow's 8. That durability gap means Aaron Rodgers contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Aaron Rodgers scored 25 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Joe Burrow is 13 years younger than Aaron Rodgers (29 vs 42), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aaron Rodgers vs Joe Burrow: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Aaron Rodgers	Joe Burrow
PPG (Half-PPR)	14.2	16.8
Games Played	16	8
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	227	134
Passing Yards	3,322	1,809
Passing TDs	24	17
Pass Yds/Game	207.6	226.1
Rushing Yards	61	41
Rushing TDs	1	0
Total TDs	25	17
TDs/Game	1.6	2.1
Age	42	29
Experience	20 yrs	5 yrs
Bye Week	Week 9	Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Joe Burrow holds the PPG edge with solid output at 16.8 points per game. Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Joe Burrow in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Joe Burrow has the edge at 16.8 PPG compared to Aaron Rodgers's 14.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow average in 2025?▾

Aaron Rodgers averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Joe Burrow averaged 16.8 PPG over 8 games. That is a difference of 2.6 points per game.

When are Aaron Rodgers and Joe Burrow's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) has a bye in Week 9, and Joe Burrow (CIN) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aaron Rodgers or Joe Burrow a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Joe Burrow outscored Aaron Rodgers by 2.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.