Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Adonai Mitchell vs Brian Thomas Jr.Who should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Brian Thomas Jr. is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.2 PPG to Adonai Mitchell's 7.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Brian Thomas Jr. is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Brian Thomas Jr. edges Adonai Mitchell by 0.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Brian Thomas Jr. goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

Track Adonai Mitchell and Brian Thomas Jr. in the DraftCall app and get their updates the moment they change.

Get the App

WRIndianapolis Colts#99

Adonai Mitchell

PPG

7.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

558

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 14

WRJacksonville Jaguars#47PPG LEADER

Brian Thomas Jr.

PPG

8.2

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

707

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Adonai Mitchell

Brian Thomas Jr.

Head to Head

7.8 PPG8.2 PPG

16 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Adonai Mitchell: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Brian Thomas Jr.: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #47 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Adonai Mitchell is producing at 35% of elite pace and Brian Thomas Jr. at 37%. That ranking gap means Brian Thomas Jr. carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Adonai Mitchell vs Brian Thomas Jr.: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Adonai Mitchell finished the 2025 season at 7.8 PPG over 16 games with the Indianapolis Colts, while Brian Thomas Jr. clocked in at 8.2 across 14 appearances for the Jacksonville Jaguars. A 0.4-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Adonai Mitchell turned 68 targets into 558 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Brian Thomas Jr. converted 91 looks into 707 yards and 2 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

One scheduling note: Adonai Mitchell is off Week 14 and Brian Thomas Jr. Week 7. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Adonai Mitchell (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Brian Thomas Jr. (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Brian Thomas Jr. outscored Adonai Mitchell by a projected 7 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Adonai Mitchell played 16 games in 2025 compared to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 14. That durability gap means Adonai Mitchell contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Adonai Mitchell scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Brian Thomas Jr. saw 91 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Adonai Mitchell vs Brian Thomas Jr.: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Adonai Mitchell	Brian Thomas Jr.
PPG (Half-PPR)	7.8	8.2
Games Played	16	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	125	115
Receptions	42	48
Rec/Game	2.6	3.4
Receiving Yards	558	707
Rec Yds/Game	34.9	50.5
Receiving TDs	3	2
Targets	68	91
Target Share/Game	4.3	6.5
Age	-	23
Experience	-	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 14	Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Brian Thomas Jr. holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.2 points per game. Adonai Mitchell averaged 7.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Adonai Mitchell vs Brian Thomas Jr.

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Launch List

Get the live verdict on Adonai Mitchell vs Brian Thomas Jr.

The DraftCall app delivers live game-day verdicts on every matchup. Join the launch list and we will email you the day it goes live for the 2026 NFL season, with your direct iOS and Android install links.

We will never share your email. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Adonai Mitchell or Brian Thomas Jr. in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Brian Thomas Jr. has the edge at 8.2 PPG compared to Adonai Mitchell's 7.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Adonai Mitchell and Brian Thomas Jr. average in 2025?▾

Adonai Mitchell averaged 7.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Brian Thomas Jr. averaged 8.2 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 0.4 points per game.

When are Adonai Mitchell and Brian Thomas Jr.'s bye weeks in 2026?▾

Adonai Mitchell (IND) has a bye in Week 14, and Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Adonai Mitchell or Brian Thomas Jr. a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Brian Thomas Jr. outscored Adonai Mitchell by 0.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.