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Adonai Mitchell vs Deebo Samuel Sr.Who should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.5 PPG to Adonai Mitchell's 7.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better fantasy play this season.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better play on a neutral week. 9.5 PPG with 802 yards gives a reliable baseline. Adonai Mitchell at 7.8 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Deebo Samuel Sr. higher, but do not fade Adonai Mitchell entirely.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRIndianapolis Colts#99
Adonai Mitchell
PPG
7.8
Games
16
Rec
42
Rec Yds
558
Rec TDs
3
Targets
68
Bye
Week 14
WRWashington Commanders#36PPG LEADER
Deebo Samuel Sr.
PPG
9.5
Games
16
Rec
72
Rec Yds
727
Rec TDs
5
Targets
99
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Adonai Mitchell
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Head to Head

7.8 PPG9.5 PPG
16 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Adonai Mitchell: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Deebo Samuel Sr.: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Adonai Mitchell is producing at 35% of elite pace and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 43%. That ranking gap means Deebo Samuel Sr. carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Adonai Mitchell vs Deebo Samuel Sr.: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Adonai Mitchell and Deebo Samuel Sr. is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Indianapolis Colts wide receiver put up 7.8 PPG in 2025 over 16 games; Deebo Samuel Sr. of the Washington Commanders averaged 9.5 in 16. A 1.7-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 1.7 points favors Deebo Samuel Sr., though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one wide receiver to the other.

Target volume is the story here. Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025, while Adonai Mitchell drew 68. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Deebo Samuel Sr., even in weeks where Adonai Mitchell posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Adonai Mitchell has his bye in Week 14, and Deebo Samuel Sr. rests in Week 7. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at wide receiver for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Adonai Mitchell (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Deebo Samuel Sr. (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Adonai Mitchell by a projected 29 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Adonai Mitchell vs Deebo Samuel Sr.: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAdonai MitchellDeebo Samuel Sr.
PPG (Half-PPR)7.89.5
Games Played1616
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)125152
Receptions4272
Rec/Game2.64.5
Receiving Yards558727
Rec Yds/Game34.945.4
Receiving TDs35
Targets6899
Target Share/Game4.36.2
Age-30
Experience-6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 7

Summary

9.5 PPG for Deebo Samuel Sr. versus 7.8 for Adonai Mitchell in 2025. The baseline favors Deebo Samuel Sr., though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Adonai Mitchell or Deebo Samuel Sr. in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Deebo Samuel Sr. has the edge at 9.5 PPG compared to Adonai Mitchell's 7.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Adonai Mitchell and Deebo Samuel Sr. average in 2025?

Adonai Mitchell averaged 7.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 1.7 points per game.

When are Adonai Mitchell and Deebo Samuel Sr.'s bye weeks in 2026?

Adonai Mitchell (IND) has a bye in Week 14, and Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Adonai Mitchell or Deebo Samuel Sr. a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Adonai Mitchell by 1.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.