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Adonai Mitchell vs DeVonta SmithWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

DeVonta Smith is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.6 PPG to Adonai Mitchell's 7.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

DeVonta Smith is the better fantasy play this season.

DeVonta Smith has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 1.8-PPG advantage is real (9.6 to 7.8), and DeVonta Smith's 4 touchdowns show scoring upside. Adonai Mitchell is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRIndianapolis Colts#99
Adonai Mitchell
PPG
7.8
Games
16
Rec
42
Rec Yds
558
Rec TDs
3
Targets
68
Bye
Week 14
WRPhiladelphia Eagles#34PPG LEADER
DeVonta Smith
PPG
9.6
Games
17
Rec
77
Rec Yds
1,008
Rec TDs
4
Targets
113
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Adonai Mitchell
DeVonta Smith

Head to Head

7.8 PPG9.6 PPG
16 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Adonai Mitchell: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). DeVonta Smith: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #34 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Adonai Mitchell is producing at 35% of elite pace and DeVonta Smith at 44%. That ranking gap means DeVonta Smith carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Adonai Mitchell vs DeVonta Smith: The Full Breakdown

Two wide receivers who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Adonai Mitchell (Indianapolis Colts) finished the 2025 season averaging 7.8 fantasy points per game in 16 games. DeVonta Smith (Philadelphia Eagles) came in at 9.6 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

DeVonta Smith carries a 1.8-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Target volume is the story here. DeVonta Smith saw 113 targets in 2025, while Adonai Mitchell drew 68. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for DeVonta Smith, even in weeks where Adonai Mitchell posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Adonai Mitchell sits Week 14 while DeVonta Smith is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Adonai Mitchell (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. DeVonta Smith (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • DeVonta Smith outscored Adonai Mitchell by a projected 31 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • DeVonta Smith played 17 games in 2025 compared to Adonai Mitchell's 16. That durability gap means DeVonta Smith contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • DeVonta Smith scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • DeVonta Smith saw 113 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Adonai Mitchell vs DeVonta Smith: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAdonai MitchellDeVonta Smith
PPG (Half-PPR)7.89.6
Games Played1617
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)125163
Receptions4277
Rec/Game2.64.5
Receiving Yards5581,008
Rec Yds/Game34.959.3
Receiving TDs34
Targets68113
Target Share/Game4.36.6
Age-27
Experience-4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 10

Summary

Based on 2025 production, DeVonta Smith holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 9.6 points per game. Adonai Mitchell averaged 7.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Adonai Mitchell or DeVonta Smith in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, DeVonta Smith has the edge at 9.6 PPG compared to Adonai Mitchell's 7.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Adonai Mitchell and DeVonta Smith average in 2025?

Adonai Mitchell averaged 7.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. DeVonta Smith averaged 9.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.8 points per game.

When are Adonai Mitchell and DeVonta Smith's bye weeks in 2026?

Adonai Mitchell (IND) has a bye in Week 14, and DeVonta Smith (PHI) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Adonai Mitchell or DeVonta Smith a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

DeVonta Smith outscored Adonai Mitchell by 1.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.