Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Adonai Mitchell vs Josh DownsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Adonai Mitchell is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.8 PPG to Josh Downs's 6.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Adonai Mitchell is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Adonai Mitchell and Josh Downs are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 1.1-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRIndianapolis Colts#99PPG LEADER

Adonai Mitchell

PPG

7.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

558

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 14

WRIndianapolis Colts#99

Josh Downs

PPG

6.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

566

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 14

The Edge Chart

Adonai Mitchell

Josh Downs

Head to Head

7.8 PPG6.7 PPG

16 GP16 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Adonai Mitchell: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Josh Downs: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Adonai Mitchell is producing at 35% of elite pace and Josh Downs at 30%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Adonai Mitchell vs Josh Downs: The Full Breakdown

Adonai Mitchell (7.8 PPG) and Josh Downs (6.7 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two wide receivers are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for the Indianapolis Colts; Josh Downs suited up 16 times for the Indianapolis Colts.

A 1.1-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Adonai Mitchell turned 68 targets into 558 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Josh Downs converted 88 looks into 566 yards and 4 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

Both share a Week 14 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking wide receivers this deep on your bench, plan your replacement wide receiver early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Adonai Mitchell (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Josh Downs (age 24) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Adonai Mitchell outscored Josh Downs by a projected 19 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Josh Downs scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Josh Downs saw 88 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
•Both players share a Week 14 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Adonai Mitchell vs Josh Downs: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Adonai Mitchell	Josh Downs
PPG (Half-PPR)	7.8	6.7
Games Played	16	16
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	125	107
Receptions	42	58
Rec/Game	2.6	3.6
Receiving Yards	558	566
Rec Yds/Game	34.9	35.4
Receiving TDs	3	4
Targets	68	88
Target Share/Game	4.3	5.5
Age	-	24
Experience	-	3 yrs
Bye Week	Week 14	Week 14

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Adonai Mitchell at 7.8 PPG, 1.1 points per game above Josh Downs's 6.7. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Adonai Mitchell or Josh Downs in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Adonai Mitchell has the edge at 7.8 PPG compared to Josh Downs's 6.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Adonai Mitchell and Josh Downs average in 2025?▾

Adonai Mitchell averaged 7.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Josh Downs averaged 6.7 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 1.1 points per game.

Do Adonai Mitchell and Josh Downs share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Adonai Mitchell and Josh Downs share a Week 14 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at wide receiver for that week.

Is Adonai Mitchell or Josh Downs a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Adonai Mitchell outscored Josh Downs by 1.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.