Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Adonai Mitchell vs Tyler LockettWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Adonai Mitchell is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.8 PPG to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Adonai Mitchell is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Adonai Mitchell edges Tyler Lockett by 0.9 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Adonai Mitchell goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRIndianapolis Colts#99PPG LEADER

Adonai Mitchell

PPG

7.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

558

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 14

WRSeattle Seahawks#99

Tyler Lockett

PPG

6.9

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

548

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Adonai Mitchell

Tyler Lockett

Head to Head

7.8 PPG6.9 PPG

16 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Adonai Mitchell: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Tyler Lockett: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Adonai Mitchell is producing at 35% of elite pace and Tyler Lockett at 31%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Adonai Mitchell vs Tyler Lockett: The Full Breakdown

Adonai Mitchell (7.8 PPG) and Tyler Lockett (6.9 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two wide receivers are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for the Indianapolis Colts; Tyler Lockett suited up 15 times for the Seattle Seahawks.

A 0.9-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Adonai Mitchell turned 68 targets into 558 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Tyler Lockett converted 72 looks into 548 yards and 2 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Adonai Mitchell sits Week 14 while Tyler Lockett is off Week 10. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Adonai Mitchell (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyler Lockett (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Adonai Mitchell outscored Tyler Lockett by a projected 15 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Adonai Mitchell played 16 games in 2025 compared to Tyler Lockett's 15. That durability gap means Adonai Mitchell contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Adonai Mitchell scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Tyler Lockett saw 72 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Adonai Mitchell vs Tyler Lockett: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Adonai Mitchell	Tyler Lockett
PPG (Half-PPR)	7.8	6.9
Games Played	16	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	125	104
Receptions	42	48
Rec/Game	2.6	3.2
Receiving Yards	558	548
Rec Yds/Game	34.9	36.5
Receiving TDs	3	2
Targets	68	72
Target Share/Game	4.3	4.8
Bye Week	Week 14	Week 10

Summary

Adonai Mitchell outscored Tyler Lockett by 0.9 PPG in 2025 (7.8 to 6.9). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Adonai Mitchell or Tyler Lockett in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Adonai Mitchell has the edge at 7.8 PPG compared to Tyler Lockett's 6.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Adonai Mitchell and Tyler Lockett average in 2025?▾

Adonai Mitchell averaged 7.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Tyler Lockett averaged 6.9 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 0.9 points per game.

When are Adonai Mitchell and Tyler Lockett's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Adonai Mitchell (IND) has a bye in Week 14, and Tyler Lockett (SEA) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Adonai Mitchell or Tyler Lockett a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Adonai Mitchell outscored Tyler Lockett by 0.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.