Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Aidan O'Connell vs Baker MayfieldWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 16.0 PPG to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy play this season.

Baker Mayfield has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.2-PPG advantage is real (16.0 to 12.8), and Baker Mayfield's 27 touchdowns show scoring upside. Aidan O'Connell is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99

Aidan O'Connell

PPG

12.8

Games

Pass Yds

2,650

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19PPG LEADER

Baker Mayfield

PPG

16.0

Games

Pass Yds

3,693

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

382

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Aidan O'Connell

Baker Mayfield

Head to Head

12.8 PPG16.0 PPG

13 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Aidan O'Connell: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aidan O'Connell is producing at 58% of elite pace and Baker Mayfield at 73%. That ranking gap means Baker Mayfield carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aidan O'Connell vs Baker Mayfield: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Aidan O'Connell (Las Vegas Raiders) finished the 2025 season averaging 12.8 fantasy points per game in 13 games. Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) came in at 16.0 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Baker Mayfield carries a 3.2-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aidan O'Connell threw for 2650 yards and 16 touchdowns, while Baker Mayfield posted 3693 yards and 26 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 10 bye. That means you need a backup plan at quarterback for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Baker Mayfield at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Aidan O'Connell is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Aidan O'Connell (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

•Baker Mayfield outscored Aidan O'Connell by a projected 54 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Baker Mayfield played 17 games in 2025 compared to Aidan O'Connell's 13. That durability gap means Baker Mayfield contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Baker Mayfield scored 27 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Baker Mayfield added 382 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Both players share a Week 10 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aidan O'Connell vs Baker Mayfield: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Aidan O'Connell	Baker Mayfield
PPG (Half-PPR)	12.8	16.0
Games Played	13	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	166	272
Passing Yards	2,650	3,693
Passing TDs	16	26
Pass Yds/Game	203.8	217.2
Rushing Yards	68	382
Rushing TDs	0	1
Total TDs	16	27
TDs/Game	1.2	1.6
Age	-	31
Experience	-	7 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 10

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Baker Mayfield holds the PPG edge with solid output at 16.0 points per game. Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aidan O'Connell or Baker Mayfield in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Baker Mayfield has the edge at 16.0 PPG compared to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aidan O'Connell and Baker Mayfield average in 2025?▾

Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 3.2 points per game.

Do Aidan O'Connell and Baker Mayfield share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Aidan O'Connell and Baker Mayfield share a Week 10 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Aidan O'Connell or Baker Mayfield a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Baker Mayfield outscored Aidan O'Connell by 3.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.