Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Aidan O'Connell vs Caleb WilliamsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.7 PPG to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Caleb Williams is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Caleb Williams outscored Aidan O'Connell by 5.9 PPG in 2025 with 31 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Caleb Williams is the clear pick. Aidan O'Connell profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99

Aidan O'Connell

PPG

12.8

Games

Pass Yds

2,650

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBChicago Bears#8PPG LEADER

Caleb Williams

PPG

18.7

Games

Pass Yds

3,942

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

383

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Aidan O'Connell

Caleb Williams

Head to Head

12.8 PPG18.7 PPG

13 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Aidan O'Connell: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Caleb Williams: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #8 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aidan O'Connell is producing at 58% of elite pace and Caleb Williams at 85%. That ranking gap means Caleb Williams carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aidan O'Connell vs Caleb Williams: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Aidan O'Connell and Caleb Williams is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Las Vegas Raiders quarterback put up 12.8 PPG in 2025 over 13 games; Caleb Williams of the Chicago Bears averaged 18.7 in 17. A 5.9-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 5.9 points favors Caleb Williams, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aidan O'Connell threw for 2650 yards and 16 touchdowns, while Caleb Williams posted 3942 yards and 27 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Both share a Week 10 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking quarterbacks this deep on your bench, plan your replacement quarterback early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Caleb Williams is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Aidan O'Connell is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Aidan O'Connell (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Caleb Williams (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising.

Did You Know?

•Caleb Williams outscored Aidan O'Connell by a projected 100 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Caleb Williams played 17 games in 2025 compared to Aidan O'Connell's 13. That durability gap means Caleb Williams contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Caleb Williams scored 31 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Caleb Williams added 383 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Both players share a Week 10 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aidan O'Connell vs Caleb Williams: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Aidan O'Connell	Caleb Williams
PPG (Half-PPR)	12.8	18.7
Games Played	13	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	166	318
Passing Yards	2,650	3,942
Passing TDs	16	27
Pass Yds/Game	203.8	231.9
Rushing Yards	68	383
Rushing TDs	0	3
Total TDs	16	31
TDs/Game	1.2	1.8
Age	-	24
Experience	-	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 10

Summary

18.7 PPG for Caleb Williams versus 12.8 for Aidan O'Connell in 2025. The baseline favors Caleb Williams, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aidan O'Connell or Caleb Williams in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Caleb Williams has the edge at 18.7 PPG compared to Aidan O'Connell's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aidan O'Connell and Caleb Williams average in 2025?▾

Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Caleb Williams averaged 18.7 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 5.9 points per game.

Do Aidan O'Connell and Caleb Williams share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Aidan O'Connell and Caleb Williams share a Week 10 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Aidan O'Connell or Caleb Williams a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Caleb Williams outscored Aidan O'Connell by 5.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.