Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Aidan O'Connell vs Davis MillsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Aidan O'Connell is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.8 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Aidan O'Connell is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Aidan O'Connell edges Davis Mills by 1.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Aidan O'Connell goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBLas Vegas Raiders#99PPG LEADER

Aidan O'Connell

PPG

12.8

Games

Pass Yds

2,650

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Aidan O'Connell

Davis Mills

Head to Head

12.8 PPG11.4 PPG

13 GP6 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Aidan O'Connell: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Aidan O'Connell is producing at 58% of elite pace and Davis Mills at 52%. That ranking gap means Davis Mills carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Aidan O'Connell vs Davis Mills: The Full Breakdown

Aidan O'Connell (12.8 PPG) and Davis Mills (11.4 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two quarterbacks are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Aidan O'Connell played 13 games for the Las Vegas Raiders; Davis Mills suited up 6 times for the Houston Texans.

A 1.4-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Aidan O'Connell threw for 2650 yards and 16 touchdowns, while Davis Mills posted 915 yards and 5 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Aidan O'Connell sits Week 10 while Davis Mills is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Aidan O'Connell (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Aidan O'Connell outscored Davis Mills by a projected 24 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Aidan O'Connell played 13 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Aidan O'Connell contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Aidan O'Connell scored 16 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Aidan O'Connell vs Davis Mills: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Aidan O'Connell	Davis Mills
PPG (Half-PPR)	12.8	11.4
Games Played	13	6
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	166	68
Passing Yards	2,650	915
Passing TDs	16	5
Pass Yds/Game	203.8	152.5
Rushing Yards	68	60
Rushing TDs	0	1
Total TDs	16	6
TDs/Game	1.2	1.0
Age	-	27
Experience	-	4 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 8

Summary

Aidan O'Connell outscored Davis Mills by 1.4 PPG in 2025 (12.8 to 11.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Aidan O'Connell or Davis Mills in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Aidan O'Connell has the edge at 12.8 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Aidan O'Connell and Davis Mills average in 2025?▾

Aidan O'Connell averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 13 games in 2025. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG over 6 games. That is a difference of 1.4 points per game.

When are Aidan O'Connell and Davis Mills's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Aidan O'Connell (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Aidan O'Connell or Davis Mills a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Aidan O'Connell outscored Davis Mills by 1.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.