Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

AJ Barner vs Terrance FergusonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

AJ Barner is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.1 PPG to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

AJ Barner is the better fantasy play this season.

AJ Barner has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.8-PPG advantage is real (7.1 to 3.3), and AJ Barner's 7 touchdowns show scoring upside. Terrance Ferguson is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TESeattle Seahawks#22PPG LEADER

AJ Barner

PPG

7.1

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

519

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 11

TELos Angeles Rams#99

Terrance Ferguson

PPG

3.3

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

231

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

AJ Barner

Terrance Ferguson

Head to Head

7.1 PPG3.3 PPG

17 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 11Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

AJ Barner: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #22 at the position). Terrance Ferguson: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, AJ Barner is producing at 32% of elite pace and Terrance Ferguson at 15%. That ranking gap means AJ Barner carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

AJ Barner vs Terrance Ferguson: The Full Breakdown

Two tight ends who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. AJ Barner (Seattle Seahawks) finished the 2025 season averaging 7.1 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Terrance Ferguson (Los Angeles Rams) came in at 3.3 PPG over 14 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

AJ Barner carries a 3.8-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

AJ Barner is the volume tight end in this matchup with 52 receptions for 519 yards, while Terrance Ferguson profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (3 scores on 11 catches). In weeks where Terrance Ferguson finds the end zone he out-scores AJ Barner, but the floor gap is real.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: AJ Barner sits Week 11 while Terrance Ferguson is off Week 6. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire AJ Barner at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Terrance Ferguson is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: AJ Barner (age 24) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Terrance Ferguson (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•AJ Barner outscored Terrance Ferguson by a projected 65 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•AJ Barner played 17 games in 2025 compared to Terrance Ferguson's 14. That durability gap means AJ Barner contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•AJ Barner scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•AJ Barner saw 68 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

AJ Barner vs Terrance Ferguson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	AJ Barner	Terrance Ferguson
PPG (Half-PPR)	7.1	3.3
Games Played	17	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	121	46
Receptions	52	11
Rec/Game	3.1	0.8
Receiving Yards	519	231
Rec Yds/Game	30.5	16.5
Receiving TDs	6	3
Targets	68	25
Target Share/Game	4.0	1.8
Age	24	23
Experience	1 yrs	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 11	Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, AJ Barner holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 7.1 points per game. Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start AJ Barner or Terrance Ferguson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, AJ Barner has the edge at 7.1 PPG compared to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did AJ Barner and Terrance Ferguson average in 2025?▾

AJ Barner averaged 7.1 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 3.8 points per game.

When are AJ Barner and Terrance Ferguson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

AJ Barner (SEA) has a bye in Week 11, and Terrance Ferguson (LAR) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is AJ Barner or Terrance Ferguson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

AJ Barner outscored Terrance Ferguson by 3.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.