Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

A.J. Brown vs Deebo Samuel Sr.Who should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

A.J. Brown is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.1 PPG to Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 9.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

A.J. Brown is the better fantasy play this season.

A.J. Brown has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.6-PPG advantage is real (12.1 to 9.5), and A.J. Brown's 7 touchdowns show scoring upside. Deebo Samuel Sr. is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRPhiladelphia Eagles#12PPG LEADER

A.J. Brown

PPG

12.1

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

1,003

Rec TDs

Targets

121

Bye

Week 10

WRWashington Commanders#36

Deebo Samuel Sr.

PPG

9.5

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

727

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

A.J. Brown

Deebo Samuel Sr.

Head to Head

12.1 PPG9.5 PPG

15 GP16 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

A.J. Brown: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) WR (ranked #12 at the position). Deebo Samuel Sr.: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, A.J. Brown is producing at 55% of elite pace and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 43%. That ranking gap means A.J. Brown carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

A.J. Brown vs Deebo Samuel Sr.: The Full Breakdown

Two wide receivers who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. A.J. Brown (Philadelphia Eagles) finished the 2025 season averaging 12.1 fantasy points per game in 15 games. Deebo Samuel Sr. (Washington Commanders) came in at 9.5 PPG over 16 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

A.J. Brown carries a 2.6-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. A.J. Brown turned 121 targets into 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, while Deebo Samuel Sr. converted 99 looks into 727 yards and 5 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

A.J. Brown has his bye in Week 10, and Deebo Samuel Sr. rests in Week 7. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at wide receiver for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: A.J. Brown (age 28) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Deebo Samuel Sr. (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

•A.J. Brown outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by a projected 44 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games in 2025 compared to A.J. Brown's 15. That durability gap means Deebo Samuel Sr. contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•A.J. Brown scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•A.J. Brown saw 121 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

A.J. Brown vs Deebo Samuel Sr.: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	A.J. Brown	Deebo Samuel Sr.
PPG (Half-PPR)	12.1	9.5
Games Played	15	16
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	182	152
Receptions	78	72
Rec/Game	5.2	4.5
Receiving Yards	1,003	727
Rec Yds/Game	66.9	45.4
Receiving TDs	7	5
Targets	121	99
Target Share/Game	8.1	6.2
Age	28	30
Experience	6 yrs	6 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, A.J. Brown holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 12.1 points per game. Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start A.J. Brown or Deebo Samuel Sr. in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, A.J. Brown has the edge at 12.1 PPG compared to Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 9.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did A.J. Brown and Deebo Samuel Sr. average in 2025?▾

A.J. Brown averaged 12.1 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 2.6 points per game.

When are A.J. Brown and Deebo Samuel Sr.'s bye weeks in 2026?▾

A.J. Brown (PHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is A.J. Brown or Deebo Samuel Sr. a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

A.J. Brown outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by 2.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.