Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Alec Pierce vs Deebo Samuel Sr.Who should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Alec Pierce is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.7 PPG to Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 9.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Alec Pierce is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Alec Pierce edges Deebo Samuel Sr. by 1.2 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Alec Pierce goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRIndianapolis Colts#22PPG LEADER

Alec Pierce

PPG

10.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

1,003

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 13

WRWashington Commanders#36

Deebo Samuel Sr.

PPG

9.5

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

727

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Alec Pierce

Deebo Samuel Sr.

Head to Head

10.7 PPG9.5 PPG

15 GP16 GP

Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Alec Pierce: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #22 at the position). Deebo Samuel Sr.: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Alec Pierce is producing at 49% of elite pace and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 43%. That ranking gap means Alec Pierce carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Alec Pierce vs Deebo Samuel Sr.: The Full Breakdown

Alec Pierce (10.7 PPG) and Deebo Samuel Sr. (9.5 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two wide receivers are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Alec Pierce played 15 games for the Indianapolis Colts; Deebo Samuel Sr. suited up 16 times for the Washington Commanders.

A 1.2-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Alec Pierce turned 84 targets into 1003 yards and 6 touchdowns, while Deebo Samuel Sr. converted 99 looks into 727 yards and 5 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Alec Pierce sits Week 13 while Deebo Samuel Sr. is off Week 7. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Alec Pierce (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Deebo Samuel Sr. (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

•Alec Pierce outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by a projected 20 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games in 2025 compared to Alec Pierce's 15. That durability gap means Deebo Samuel Sr. contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Alec Pierce scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
•Alec Pierce is 4 years younger than Deebo Samuel Sr. (26 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Alec Pierce vs Deebo Samuel Sr.: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Alec Pierce	Deebo Samuel Sr.
PPG (Half-PPR)	10.7	9.5
Games Played	15	16
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	161	152
Receptions	47	72
Rec/Game	3.1	4.5
Receiving Yards	1,003	727
Rec Yds/Game	66.9	45.4
Receiving TDs	6	5
Targets	84	99
Target Share/Game	5.6	6.2
Age	26	30
Experience	3 yrs	6 yrs
Bye Week	Week 13	Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Alec Pierce holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 10.7 points per game. Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Alec Pierce or Deebo Samuel Sr. in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Alec Pierce has the edge at 10.7 PPG compared to Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 9.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Alec Pierce and Deebo Samuel Sr. average in 2025?▾

Alec Pierce averaged 10.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 1.2 points per game.

When are Alec Pierce and Deebo Samuel Sr.'s bye weeks in 2026?▾

Alec Pierce (IND) has a bye in Week 13, and Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Alec Pierce or Deebo Samuel Sr. a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Alec Pierce outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by 1.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.