Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Alec Pierce vs Justin JeffersonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Alec Pierce is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.7 PPG to Justin Jefferson's 9.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Alec Pierce is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Alec Pierce edges Justin Jefferson by 1.3 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Alec Pierce goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRIndianapolis Colts#22PPG LEADER

Alec Pierce

PPG

10.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

1,003

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 13

WRMinnesota Vikings#37

Justin Jefferson

PPG

9.4

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

1,048

Rec TDs

Targets

141

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Alec Pierce

Justin Jefferson

Head to Head

10.7 PPG9.4 PPG

15 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Alec Pierce: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #22 at the position). Justin Jefferson: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #37 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Alec Pierce is producing at 49% of elite pace and Justin Jefferson at 43%. That ranking gap means Alec Pierce carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Alec Pierce vs Justin Jefferson: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Alec Pierce finished the 2025 season at 10.7 PPG over 15 games with the Indianapolis Colts, while Justin Jefferson clocked in at 9.4 across 17 appearances for the Minnesota Vikings. A 1.3-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Target volume is the story here. Justin Jefferson saw 141 targets in 2025, while Alec Pierce drew 84. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Justin Jefferson, even in weeks where Alec Pierce posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

One scheduling note: Alec Pierce is off Week 13 and Justin Jefferson Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Alec Pierce (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Justin Jefferson (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Alec Pierce outscored Justin Jefferson by a projected 22 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Justin Jefferson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Alec Pierce's 15. That durability gap means Justin Jefferson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Alec Pierce scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Justin Jefferson saw 141 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Alec Pierce vs Justin Jefferson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Alec Pierce	Justin Jefferson
PPG (Half-PPR)	10.7	9.4
Games Played	15	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	161	160
Receptions	47	84
Rec/Game	3.1	4.9
Receiving Yards	1,003	1,048
Rec Yds/Game	66.9	61.6
Receiving TDs	6	2
Targets	84	141
Target Share/Game	5.6	8.3
Age	26	26
Experience	3 yrs	5 yrs
Bye Week	Week 13	Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Alec Pierce holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 10.7 points per game. Justin Jefferson averaged 9.4 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Alec Pierce or Justin Jefferson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Alec Pierce has the edge at 10.7 PPG compared to Justin Jefferson's 9.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Alec Pierce and Justin Jefferson average in 2025?▾

Alec Pierce averaged 10.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Justin Jefferson averaged 9.4 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.3 points per game.

When are Alec Pierce and Justin Jefferson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Alec Pierce (IND) has a bye in Week 13, and Justin Jefferson (MIN) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Alec Pierce or Justin Jefferson a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Alec Pierce outscored Justin Jefferson by 1.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.