Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Alec Pierce vs Luther Burden IIIWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Alec Pierce is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.7 PPG to Luther Burden III's 7.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Alec Pierce is the better fantasy play this season.

Alec Pierce has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.7-PPG advantage is real (10.7 to 7.0), and Alec Pierce's 6 touchdowns show scoring upside. Luther Burden III is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRIndianapolis Colts#22PPG LEADER

Alec Pierce

PPG

10.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

1,003

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 13

WRChicago Bears#60

Luther Burden III

PPG

7.0

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

652

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Alec Pierce

Luther Burden III

Head to Head

10.7 PPG7.0 PPG

15 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Alec Pierce: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #22 at the position). Luther Burden III: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #60 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Alec Pierce is producing at 49% of elite pace and Luther Burden III at 32%. That ranking gap means Alec Pierce carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Alec Pierce vs Luther Burden III: The Full Breakdown

Two wide receivers who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Alec Pierce (Indianapolis Colts) finished the 2025 season averaging 10.7 fantasy points per game in 15 games. Luther Burden III (Chicago Bears) came in at 7.0 PPG over 15 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Alec Pierce carries a 3.7-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Alec Pierce turned 84 targets into 1003 yards and 6 touchdowns, while Luther Burden III converted 60 looks into 652 yards and 2 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

One scheduling note: Alec Pierce is off Week 13 and Luther Burden III Week 10. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Alec Pierce at a discount because your league-mates undervalue wide receiver production, do it. Luther Burden III is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Alec Pierce (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Luther Burden III (age 22) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Alec Pierce outscored Luther Burden III by a projected 63 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Alec Pierce scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Alec Pierce saw 84 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
•Luther Burden III is 4 years younger than Alec Pierce (22 vs 26), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Alec Pierce vs Luther Burden III: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Alec Pierce	Luther Burden III
PPG (Half-PPR)	10.7	7.0
Games Played	15	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	161	105
Receptions	47	47
Rec/Game	3.1	3.1
Receiving Yards	1,003	652
Rec Yds/Game	66.9	43.5
Receiving TDs	6	2
Targets	84	60
Target Share/Game	5.6	4.0
Age	26	22
Experience	3 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 13	Week 10

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Alec Pierce holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 10.7 points per game. Luther Burden III averaged 7.0 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Alec Pierce or Luther Burden III in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Alec Pierce has the edge at 10.7 PPG compared to Luther Burden III's 7.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Alec Pierce and Luther Burden III average in 2025?▾

Alec Pierce averaged 10.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Luther Burden III averaged 7.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 3.7 points per game.

When are Alec Pierce and Luther Burden III's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Alec Pierce (IND) has a bye in Week 13, and Luther Burden III (CHI) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Alec Pierce or Luther Burden III a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Alec Pierce outscored Luther Burden III by 3.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.