Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Alec Pierce vs Tetairoa McMillanWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Alec Pierce is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.7 PPG to Tetairoa McMillan's 10.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Alec Pierce is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Alec Pierce and Tetairoa McMillan are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.2-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRIndianapolis Colts#22PPG LEADER

Alec Pierce

PPG

10.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

1,003

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 13

WRCarolina Panthers#26

Tetairoa McMillan

PPG

10.5

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

1,014

Rec TDs

Targets

122

Bye

Week 5

The Edge Chart

Alec Pierce

Tetairoa McMillan

Head to Head

10.7 PPG10.5 PPG

15 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Alec Pierce: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #22 at the position). Tetairoa McMillan: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #26 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Alec Pierce is producing at 49% of elite pace and Tetairoa McMillan at 48%. That ranking gap means Alec Pierce carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Alec Pierce vs Tetairoa McMillan: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Alec Pierce finished the 2025 season at 10.7 PPG over 15 games with the Indianapolis Colts, while Tetairoa McMillan clocked in at 10.5 across 17 appearances for the Carolina Panthers. A 0.2-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Target volume is the story here. Tetairoa McMillan saw 122 targets in 2025, while Alec Pierce drew 84. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Tetairoa McMillan, even in weeks where Alec Pierce posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

One scheduling note: Alec Pierce is off Week 13 and Tetairoa McMillan Week 5. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Alec Pierce (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tetairoa McMillan (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Alec Pierce outscored Tetairoa McMillan by a projected 3 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games in 2025 compared to Alec Pierce's 15. That durability gap means Tetairoa McMillan contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Tetairoa McMillan scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Tetairoa McMillan saw 122 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Alec Pierce vs Tetairoa McMillan: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Alec Pierce	Tetairoa McMillan
PPG (Half-PPR)	10.7	10.5
Games Played	15	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	161	179
Receptions	47	70
Rec/Game	3.1	4.1
Receiving Yards	1,003	1,014
Rec Yds/Game	66.9	59.6
Receiving TDs	6	7
Targets	84	122
Target Share/Game	5.6	7.2
Age	26	23
Experience	3 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 13	Week 5

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Alec Pierce at 10.7 PPG, 0.2 points per game above Tetairoa McMillan's 10.5. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Alec Pierce or Tetairoa McMillan in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Alec Pierce has the edge at 10.7 PPG compared to Tetairoa McMillan's 10.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Alec Pierce and Tetairoa McMillan average in 2025?▾

Alec Pierce averaged 10.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Tetairoa McMillan averaged 10.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.2 points per game.

When are Alec Pierce and Tetairoa McMillan's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Alec Pierce (IND) has a bye in Week 13, and Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Alec Pierce or Tetairoa McMillan a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Alec Pierce outscored Tetairoa McMillan by 0.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.