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Updated September 8, 2026 from live stats

Alexander Mattison or Justice HillWho should you draft or start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

Start Justice Hill over Alexander Mattison in 2026.

Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG in 2025 to Alexander Mattison's 5.3, a 0.8 point per game edge. Hill posted that edge in only 9 games, so the per-game ceiling is real but watch his availability.

The Bottom Line

Statistically, Justice Hill and Alexander Mattison are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.8-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBLas Vegas Raiders

Alexander Mattison

PPG

5.3

Games

Rush Yds

255

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

Bye

Week 10

RBBaltimore Ravens#53PPG LEADER

Justice Hill

PPG

6.1

Games

Rush Yds

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

169

Bye

Week 13

The Edge Chart

Alexander Mattison

Justice Hill

Head to Head

5.3 PPG6.1 PPG

14 GP9 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Alexander Mattison: Unranked RB. Justice Hill: Tier 6 (Deep League) RB (ranked #53 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Alexander Mattison is producing at 24% of elite pace and Justice Hill at 28%. That per-game gap means Justice Hill carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Alexander Mattison vs Justice Hill: The Full Breakdown

Alexander Mattison (5.3 PPG) and Justice Hill (6.1 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two running backs are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Alexander Mattison played 14 games for the Las Vegas Raiders; Justice Hill suited up 9 times for the Baltimore Ravens.

A 0.8-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Alexander Mattison ran for 255 yards and 2 touchdowns; Justice Hill posted 93 and 2. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Alexander Mattison sits Week 10 while Justice Hill is off Week 13. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Alexander Mattison (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Justice Hill (age 28, 6 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Justice Hill outscored Alexander Mattison by a projected 14 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Alexander Mattison played 14 games in 2025 compared to Justice Hill's 9. That durability gap means Alexander Mattison contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Justice Hill scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Alexander Mattison vs Justice Hill: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Alexander Mattison	Justice Hill
PPG (Half-PPR)	5.3	6.1
Games Played	14	9
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	74	55
Rushing Yards	255	93
Rush Yds/Game	18.2	10.3
Rushing TDs	2	2
Receptions	14	21
Receiving Yards	95	169
Targets	0	27
Total TDs	2	3
Age	-	28
Experience	-	6 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 13

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Justice Hill at 6.1 PPG, 0.8 points per game above Alexander Mattison's 5.3. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Alexander Mattison or Justice Hill in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Justice Hill has the edge at 6.1 PPG compared to Alexander Mattison's 5.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

Should I draft Alexander Mattison or Justice Hill in 2026 fantasy football?▾

Justice Hill is the earlier pick. He averaged 6.1 fantasy points per game in 2025 to Alexander Mattison's 5.3, a 0.8 point per game edge over a full season. Positional rank, fantasy tier, and bye week are broken down below.

How many fantasy points did Alexander Mattison and Justice Hill average in 2025?▾

Alexander Mattison averaged 5.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG over 9 games. That is a difference of 0.8 points per game.

When are Alexander Mattison and Justice Hill's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Alexander Mattison (LV) has a bye in Week 10, and Justice Hill (BAL) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Alexander Mattison or Justice Hill a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Justice Hill outscored Alexander Mattison by 0.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.