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Head to Head

Updated September 8, 2026 from live stats

Alvin Kamara or Ray DavisWho should you draft or start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

It is nearly a coin flip, but lean Ray Davis over Alvin Kamara in 2026.

Ray Davis (7.8 PPG) and Alvin Kamara (7.7) finished 2025 separated by under a point per game. Davis also stayed healthier, playing 15 games to 11, which steadies his weekly floor.

The Bottom Line

This one is genuinely close. Ray Davis edges Alvin Kamara by 0.1 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Ray Davis goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBNew Orleans Saints#41

Alvin Kamara

PPG

7.7

Games

Rush Yds

471

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

186

Bye

Week 8

RBBuffalo BillsPPG LEADER

Ray Davis

PPG

7.8

Games

Rush Yds

425

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

168

Bye

Week 12

The Edge Chart

Alvin Kamara

Ray Davis

Head to Head

7.7 PPG7.8 PPG

11 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 12

Fantasy Tiers

Alvin Kamara: Tier 6 (Deep League) RB (ranked #41 at the position). Ray Davis: Unranked RB. Among the top 50 running backs this season, Alvin Kamara is producing at 35% of elite pace and Ray Davis at 35%. Their per-game production is close enough that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Alvin Kamara vs Ray Davis: The Full Breakdown

Alvin Kamara (7.7 PPG) and Ray Davis (7.8 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two running backs are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Alvin Kamara played 11 games for the New Orleans Saints; Ray Davis suited up 15 times for the Buffalo Bills.

A 0.1-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Alvin Kamara ran for 471 yards and 1 touchdowns; Ray Davis posted 425 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Alvin Kamara sits Week 8 while Ray Davis is off Week 12. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Alvin Kamara (age 31, 8 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value. Ray Davis (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

•Ray Davis outscored Alvin Kamara by a projected 2 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Ray Davis played 15 games in 2025 compared to Alvin Kamara's 11. That durability gap means Ray Davis contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Ray Davis scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
•Alvin Kamara caught 33 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Alvin Kamara vs Ray Davis: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Alvin Kamara	Ray Davis
PPG (Half-PPR)	7.7	7.8
Games Played	11	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	85	117
Rushing Yards	471	425
Rush Yds/Game	42.8	28.3
Rushing TDs	1	3
Receptions	33	22
Receiving Yards	186	168
Targets	39	0
Total TDs	1	4
Age	31	-
Experience	8 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 12

Summary

Ray Davis outscored Alvin Kamara by 0.1 PPG in 2025 (7.8 to 7.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Alvin Kamara or Ray Davis in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Ray Davis has the edge at 7.8 PPG compared to Alvin Kamara's 7.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

Should I draft Alvin Kamara or Ray Davis in 2026 fantasy football?▾

Ray Davis and Alvin Kamara come off the board in the same range, so take whichever fits your roster build. Ray Davis averaged 7.8 fantasy points per game in 2025 to Alvin Kamara's 7.7, a gap of under a point. Positional rank, fantasy tier, and bye week are broken down below.

How many fantasy points did Alvin Kamara and Ray Davis average in 2025?▾

Alvin Kamara averaged 7.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 11 games in 2025. Ray Davis averaged 7.8 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 0.1 points per game.

When are Alvin Kamara and Ray Davis's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Alvin Kamara (NO) has a bye in Week 8, and Ray Davis (BUF) has a bye in Week 12. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Alvin Kamara or Ray Davis a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Ray Davis outscored Alvin Kamara by 0.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.