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Head to Head

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Antonio Gibson vs Jaylen WarrenWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jaylen Warren is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.3 PPG to Antonio Gibson's 7.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jaylen Warren is the better fantasy play this season.

Jaylen Warren has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.4-PPG advantage is real (12.3 to 7.9), and Jaylen Warren's 8 touchdowns show scoring upside. Antonio Gibson is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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RBNew England Patriots#99
Antonio Gibson
PPG
7.9
Games
15
Rush Yds
548
Rush TDs
3
Rec
24
Rec Yds
195
Bye
Week 14
RBPittsburgh Steelers#18PPG LEADER
Jaylen Warren
PPG
12.3
Games
16
Rush Yds
958
Rush TDs
6
Rec
40
Rec Yds
333
Bye
Week 9

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Antonio Gibson
Jaylen Warren

Head to Head

7.9 PPG12.3 PPG
15 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 9

Fantasy Tiers

Antonio Gibson: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #99 at the position). Jaylen Warren: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #18 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Antonio Gibson is producing at 36% of elite pace and Jaylen Warren at 56%. That ranking gap means Jaylen Warren carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Antonio Gibson vs Jaylen Warren: The Full Breakdown

Two running backs who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Antonio Gibson (New England Patriots) finished the 2025 season averaging 7.9 fantasy points per game in 15 games. Jaylen Warren (Pittsburgh Steelers) came in at 12.3 PPG over 16 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Jaylen Warren carries a 4.4-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Jaylen Warren is the receiving back in this matchup, turning 40 targets into 333 yards, while Antonio Gibson profiles as a more traditional rusher with 548 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. In PPR and half-PPR formats Jaylen Warren carries the higher weekly floor. In standard leagues the gap tightens considerably.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Antonio Gibson sits Week 14 while Jaylen Warren is off Week 9. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Jaylen Warren at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Antonio Gibson is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Antonio Gibson (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Jaylen Warren (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

  • Jaylen Warren outscored Antonio Gibson by a projected 75 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jaylen Warren played 16 games in 2025 compared to Antonio Gibson's 15. That durability gap means Jaylen Warren contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jaylen Warren scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Jaylen Warren caught 40 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Antonio Gibson vs Jaylen Warren: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAntonio GibsonJaylen Warren
PPG (Half-PPR)7.912.3
Games Played1516
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)119197
Rushing Yards548958
Rush Yds/Game36.559.9
Rushing TDs36
Receptions2440
Receiving Yards195333
Targets045
Total TDs48
Age-27
Experience-3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 9

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Jaylen Warren holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 12.3 points per game. Antonio Gibson averaged 7.9 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Antonio Gibson or Jaylen Warren in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Jaylen Warren has the edge at 12.3 PPG compared to Antonio Gibson's 7.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Antonio Gibson and Jaylen Warren average in 2025?

Antonio Gibson averaged 7.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Jaylen Warren averaged 12.3 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 4.4 points per game.

When are Antonio Gibson and Jaylen Warren's bye weeks in 2026?

Antonio Gibson (NE) has a bye in Week 14, and Jaylen Warren (PIT) has a bye in Week 9. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Antonio Gibson or Jaylen Warren a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Jaylen Warren outscored Antonio Gibson by 4.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.