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Head to Head

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Ashton Jeanty vs Jaylen WarrenWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Ashton Jeanty is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.8 PPG to Jaylen Warren's 12.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Ashton Jeanty is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Ashton Jeanty edges Jaylen Warren by 0.5 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Ashton Jeanty goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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RBLas Vegas Raiders#17PPG LEADER
Ashton Jeanty
PPG
12.8
Games
17
Rush Yds
975
Rush TDs
5
Rec
55
Rec Yds
346
Bye
Week 13
RBPittsburgh Steelers#18
Jaylen Warren
PPG
12.3
Games
16
Rush Yds
958
Rush TDs
6
Rec
40
Rec Yds
333
Bye
Week 9

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Ashton Jeanty
Jaylen Warren

Head to Head

12.8 PPG12.3 PPG
17 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 9

Fantasy Tiers

Ashton Jeanty: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #17 at the position). Jaylen Warren: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #18 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Ashton Jeanty is producing at 58% of elite pace and Jaylen Warren at 56%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Ashton Jeanty vs Jaylen Warren: The Full Breakdown

Ashton Jeanty (12.8 PPG) and Jaylen Warren (12.3 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two running backs are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for the Las Vegas Raiders; Jaylen Warren suited up 16 times for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

A 0.5-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both are three-down backs with real passing-game roles. Ashton Jeanty caught 55 balls for 346 yards, and Jaylen Warren hauled in 40 for 333. That receiving workload gives them high PPR floors even in games where the ground attack gets stuffed, and it is why both stay on the field in obvious passing situations.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Ashton Jeanty sits Week 13 while Jaylen Warren is off Week 9. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Ashton Jeanty (age 22) has not yet hit the RB cliff. High dynasty ceiling if volume holds. Jaylen Warren (age 27) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open.

Did You Know?

  • Ashton Jeanty outscored Jaylen Warren by a projected 9 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Ashton Jeanty played 17 games in 2025 compared to Jaylen Warren's 16. That durability gap means Ashton Jeanty contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Ashton Jeanty scored 10 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Ashton Jeanty caught 55 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
  • Ashton Jeanty is 5 years younger than Jaylen Warren (22 vs 27), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Ashton Jeanty vs Jaylen Warren: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAshton JeantyJaylen Warren
PPG (Half-PPR)12.812.3
Games Played1716
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)218197
Rushing Yards975958
Rush Yds/Game57.459.9
Rushing TDs56
Receptions5540
Receiving Yards346333
Targets7345
Total TDs108
Age2227
Experience-3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 9

Summary

Ashton Jeanty outscored Jaylen Warren by 0.5 PPG in 2025 (12.8 to 12.3). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Jaylen Warren in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Ashton Jeanty has the edge at 12.8 PPG compared to Jaylen Warren's 12.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Ashton Jeanty and Jaylen Warren average in 2025?

Ashton Jeanty averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Jaylen Warren averaged 12.3 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 0.5 points per game.

When are Ashton Jeanty and Jaylen Warren's bye weeks in 2026?

Ashton Jeanty (LV) has a bye in Week 13, and Jaylen Warren (PIT) has a bye in Week 9. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Ashton Jeanty or Jaylen Warren a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Ashton Jeanty outscored Jaylen Warren by 0.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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