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Ashton Jeanty vs Justice HillWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Ashton Jeanty is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.8 PPG to Justice Hill's 6.1 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Ashton Jeanty is the better fantasy play this season.

Ashton Jeanty is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 12.8 PPG and 1,321 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Justice Hill (6.1 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Ashton Jeanty as the starter and Justice Hill as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBLas Vegas Raiders#17PPG LEADER
Ashton Jeanty
PPG
12.8
Games
17
Rush Yds
975
Rush TDs
5
Rec
55
Rec Yds
346
Bye
Week 13
RBBaltimore Ravens#53
Justice Hill
PPG
6.1
Games
9
Rush Yds
93
Rush TDs
2
Rec
21
Rec Yds
169
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Ashton Jeanty
Justice Hill

Head to Head

12.8 PPG6.1 PPG
17 GP9 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Ashton Jeanty: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #17 at the position). Justice Hill: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #53 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Ashton Jeanty is producing at 58% of elite pace and Justice Hill at 28%. That ranking gap means Ashton Jeanty carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Ashton Jeanty vs Justice Hill: The Full Breakdown

Ashton Jeanty and Justice Hill are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Las Vegas Raiders running back averaged 12.8 PPG in 2025, a full 6.7 points per game ahead of Justice Hill's 6.1 with the Baltimore Ravens. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

Ashton Jeanty carries a 6.7-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Ashton Jeanty is the receiving back in this matchup, turning 55 targets into 346 yards, while Justice Hill profiles as a more traditional rusher with 93 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. In PPR and half-PPR formats Ashton Jeanty carries the higher weekly floor. In standard leagues the gap tightens considerably.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 13 bye. That means you need a backup plan at running back for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Ashton Jeanty at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Justice Hill is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Ashton Jeanty (age 22) has not yet hit the RB cliff. High dynasty ceiling if volume holds. Justice Hill (age 28, 6 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Ashton Jeanty outscored Justice Hill by a projected 114 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Ashton Jeanty played 17 games in 2025 compared to Justice Hill's 9. That durability gap means Ashton Jeanty contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Ashton Jeanty scored 10 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Ashton Jeanty caught 55 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
  • Ashton Jeanty is 6 years younger than Justice Hill (22 vs 28), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Ashton Jeanty vs Justice Hill: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatAshton JeantyJustice Hill
PPG (Half-PPR)12.86.1
Games Played179
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)21855
Rushing Yards97593
Rush Yds/Game57.410.3
Rushing TDs52
Receptions5521
Receiving Yards346169
Targets7327
Total TDs103
Age2228
Experience-6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Ashton Jeanty holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 12.8 points per game. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Justice Hill in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Ashton Jeanty has the edge at 12.8 PPG compared to Justice Hill's 6.1 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Ashton Jeanty and Justice Hill average in 2025?

Ashton Jeanty averaged 12.8 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG over 9 games. That is a difference of 6.7 points per game.

Do Ashton Jeanty and Justice Hill share a bye week?

Yes, both Ashton Jeanty and Justice Hill share a Week 13 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at running back for that week.

Is Ashton Jeanty or Justice Hill a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Ashton Jeanty outscored Justice Hill by 6.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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