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Breece Hall vs Nick ChubbWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Breece Hall is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.9 PPG to Nick Chubb's 5.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Breece Hall is the better fantasy play this season.

Breece Hall is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 11.9 PPG and 1,419 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Nick Chubb (5.5 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Breece Hall as the starter and Nick Chubb as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBNew York Jets#20PPG LEADER
Breece Hall
PPG
11.9
Games
16
Rush Yds
1,065
Rush TDs
4
Rec
36
Rec Yds
350
Bye
Week 13
RBHouston Texans#59
Nick Chubb
PPG
5.5
Games
15
Rush Yds
506
Rush TDs
3
Rec
13
Rec Yds
67
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Breece Hall
Nick Chubb

Head to Head

11.9 PPG5.5 PPG
16 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 13Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Breece Hall: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) RB (ranked #20 at the position). Nick Chubb: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #59 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Breece Hall is producing at 54% of elite pace and Nick Chubb at 25%. That ranking gap means Breece Hall carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Breece Hall vs Nick Chubb: The Full Breakdown

The numbers tell a clear story here. Breece Hall put up 11.9 fantasy points per game for the New York Jets in 2025, while Nick Chubb managed 5.5 across 15 games with the Houston Texans. A 6.4-point weekly edge is substantial at the running back position.

Breece Hall carries a 6.4-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both profile as early-down workhorses. Breece Hall ran for 1065 yards and 4 touchdowns; Nick Chubb posted 506 and 3. Goal-line share, red zone touches, and which team is favored are usually the tiebreaker when neither back offers passing-game volume.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Breece Hall sits Week 13 while Nick Chubb is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Breece Hall at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Nick Chubb is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Breece Hall (age 25) has not yet hit the RB cliff. High dynasty ceiling if volume holds. Nick Chubb (age 30, 7 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Breece Hall outscored Nick Chubb by a projected 109 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Breece Hall played 16 games in 2025 compared to Nick Chubb's 15. That durability gap means Breece Hall contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Breece Hall scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
  • Breece Hall caught 36 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.
  • Breece Hall is 5 years younger than Nick Chubb (25 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Breece Hall vs Nick Chubb: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBreece HallNick Chubb
PPG (Half-PPR)11.95.5
Games Played1615
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)19083
Rushing Yards1,065506
Rush Yds/Game66.633.7
Rushing TDs43
Receptions3613
Receiving Yards35067
Targets4820
Total TDs63
Age2530
Experience3 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 13Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Breece Hall holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 11.9 points per game. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Breece Hall or Nick Chubb in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Breece Hall has the edge at 11.9 PPG compared to Nick Chubb's 5.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Breece Hall and Nick Chubb average in 2025?

Breece Hall averaged 11.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Nick Chubb averaged 5.5 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 6.4 points per game.

When are Breece Hall and Nick Chubb's bye weeks in 2026?

Breece Hall (NYJ) has a bye in Week 13, and Nick Chubb (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Breece Hall or Nick Chubb a better fantasy running back in 2026?

Breece Hall outscored Nick Chubb by 6.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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