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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Courtland SuttonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Courtland Sutton is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.7 PPG to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 8.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Courtland Sutton is the better fantasy play this season.

Courtland Sutton is the better play on a neutral week. 10.7 PPG with 1,017 yards gives a reliable baseline. Brian Thomas Jr. at 8.2 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Courtland Sutton higher, but do not fade Brian Thomas Jr. entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRJacksonville Jaguars#47
Brian Thomas Jr.
PPG
8.2
Games
14
Rec
48
Rec Yds
707
Rec TDs
2
Targets
91
Bye
Week 7
WRDenver Broncos#21PPG LEADER
Courtland Sutton
PPG
10.7
Games
17
Rec
74
Rec Yds
1,017
Rec TDs
7
Targets
124
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Brian Thomas Jr.
Courtland Sutton

Head to Head

8.2 PPG10.7 PPG
14 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Brian Thomas Jr.: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #47 at the position). Courtland Sutton: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #21 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Brian Thomas Jr. is producing at 37% of elite pace and Courtland Sutton at 49%. That ranking gap means Courtland Sutton carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Courtland Sutton: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Brian Thomas Jr. and Courtland Sutton for your lineup, you are not alone. Brian Thomas Jr. finished the 2025 season at 8.2 PPG for the Jacksonville Jaguars (14 games), and Courtland Sutton averaged 10.7 for the Denver Broncos (17 games).

That 2.5-point weekly advantage for Courtland Sutton is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Target volume is the story here. Courtland Sutton saw 124 targets in 2025, while Brian Thomas Jr. drew 91. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Courtland Sutton, even in weeks where Brian Thomas Jr. posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Brian Thomas Jr. has his bye in Week 7, and Courtland Sutton rests in Week 10. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at wide receiver for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Brian Thomas Jr. (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Courtland Sutton (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Courtland Sutton outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by a projected 43 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Courtland Sutton played 17 games in 2025 compared to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 14. That durability gap means Courtland Sutton contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Courtland Sutton scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Courtland Sutton saw 124 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Brian Thomas Jr. is 7 years younger than Courtland Sutton (23 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Courtland Sutton: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBrian Thomas Jr.Courtland Sutton
PPG (Half-PPR)8.210.7
Games Played1417
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)115182
Receptions4874
Rec/Game3.44.4
Receiving Yards7071,017
Rec Yds/Game50.559.8
Receiving TDs27
Targets91124
Target Share/Game6.57.3
Age2330
Experience1 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 10

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Courtland Sutton at 10.7 PPG, 2.5 points per game above Brian Thomas Jr.'s 8.2. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Brian Thomas Jr. or Courtland Sutton in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Courtland Sutton has the edge at 10.7 PPG compared to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 8.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Brian Thomas Jr. and Courtland Sutton average in 2025?

Brian Thomas Jr. averaged 8.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Courtland Sutton averaged 10.7 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.5 points per game.

When are Brian Thomas Jr. and Courtland Sutton's bye weeks in 2026?

Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX) has a bye in Week 7, and Courtland Sutton (DEN) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Brian Thomas Jr. or Courtland Sutton a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Courtland Sutton outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by 2.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.