DraftCall
DraftCallFantasy Football

Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Brian Thomas Jr. vs DeVonta SmithWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

DeVonta Smith is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.6 PPG to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 8.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

DeVonta Smith is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. DeVonta Smith edges Brian Thomas Jr. by 1.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, DeVonta Smith goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

Track Brian Thomas Jr. and DeVonta Smith in the DraftCall app and get their updates the moment they change.

Get the App
WRJacksonville Jaguars#47
Brian Thomas Jr.
PPG
8.2
Games
14
Rec
48
Rec Yds
707
Rec TDs
2
Targets
91
Bye
Week 7
WRPhiladelphia Eagles#34PPG LEADER
DeVonta Smith
PPG
9.6
Games
17
Rec
77
Rec Yds
1,008
Rec TDs
4
Targets
113
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Brian Thomas Jr.
DeVonta Smith

Head to Head

8.2 PPG9.6 PPG
14 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Brian Thomas Jr.: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #47 at the position). DeVonta Smith: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #34 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Brian Thomas Jr. is producing at 37% of elite pace and DeVonta Smith at 44%. That ranking gap means DeVonta Smith carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Brian Thomas Jr. vs DeVonta Smith: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Brian Thomas Jr. and DeVonta Smith is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 1.4 PPG in 2025, this is one of those wide receiver decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Brian Thomas Jr. averaged 8.2 PPG with the Jacksonville Jaguars across 14 games, and DeVonta Smith posted 9.6 with the Philadelphia Eagles in 17.

When two wide receivers are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Brian Thomas Jr. turned 91 targets into 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, while DeVonta Smith converted 113 looks into 1008 yards and 4 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

Brian Thomas Jr. has his bye in Week 7, and DeVonta Smith rests in Week 10. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at wide receiver for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Brian Thomas Jr. (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. DeVonta Smith (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • DeVonta Smith outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by a projected 24 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • DeVonta Smith played 17 games in 2025 compared to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 14. That durability gap means DeVonta Smith contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • DeVonta Smith scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • DeVonta Smith saw 113 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Brian Thomas Jr. is 4 years younger than DeVonta Smith (23 vs 27), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Brian Thomas Jr. vs DeVonta Smith: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBrian Thomas Jr.DeVonta Smith
PPG (Half-PPR)8.29.6
Games Played1417
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)115163
Receptions4877
Rec/Game3.44.5
Receiving Yards7071,008
Rec Yds/Game50.559.3
Receiving TDs24
Targets91113
Target Share/Game6.56.6
Age2327
Experience1 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 10

Summary

DeVonta Smith outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by 1.4 PPG in 2025 (9.6 to 8.2). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

DraftCall app on iPhone

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Brian Thomas Jr. vs DeVonta Smith

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Launch List

Get the live verdict on Brian Thomas Jr. vs DeVonta Smith

The DraftCall app delivers live game-day verdicts on every matchup. Join the launch list and we will email you the day it goes live for the 2026 NFL season, with your direct iOS and Android install links.

We will never share your email. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Brian Thomas Jr. or DeVonta Smith in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, DeVonta Smith has the edge at 9.6 PPG compared to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 8.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Brian Thomas Jr. and DeVonta Smith average in 2025?

Brian Thomas Jr. averaged 8.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. DeVonta Smith averaged 9.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.4 points per game.

When are Brian Thomas Jr. and DeVonta Smith's bye weeks in 2026?

Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX) has a bye in Week 7, and DeVonta Smith (PHI) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Brian Thomas Jr. or DeVonta Smith a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

DeVonta Smith outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by 1.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.