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Head to Head

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Brian Thomas Jr. vs Garrett WilsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Garrett Wilson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.6 PPG to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 8.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Garrett Wilson is the better fantasy play this season.

Garrett Wilson is the better play on a neutral week. 11.6 PPG with 395 yards gives a reliable baseline. Brian Thomas Jr. at 8.2 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Garrett Wilson higher, but do not fade Brian Thomas Jr. entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRJacksonville Jaguars#47
Brian Thomas Jr.
PPG
8.2
Games
14
Rec
48
Rec Yds
707
Rec TDs
2
Targets
91
Bye
Week 7
WRNew York Jets#16PPG LEADER
Garrett Wilson
PPG
11.6
Games
7
Rec
36
Rec Yds
395
Rec TDs
4
Targets
59
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Brian Thomas Jr.
Garrett Wilson

Head to Head

8.2 PPG11.6 PPG
14 GP7 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Brian Thomas Jr.: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #47 at the position). Garrett Wilson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #16 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Brian Thomas Jr. is producing at 37% of elite pace and Garrett Wilson at 53%. That ranking gap means Garrett Wilson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Garrett Wilson: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Brian Thomas Jr. and Garrett Wilson is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver put up 8.2 PPG in 2025 over 14 games; Garrett Wilson of the New York Jets averaged 11.6 in 7. A 3.4-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 3.4 points favors Garrett Wilson, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one wide receiver to the other.

Target volume is the story here. Brian Thomas Jr. saw 91 targets in 2025, while Garrett Wilson drew 59. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Brian Thomas Jr., even in weeks where Garrett Wilson posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Brian Thomas Jr. has his bye in Week 7, and Garrett Wilson rests in Week 13. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at wide receiver for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Garrett Wilson is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Brian Thomas Jr. is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Brian Thomas Jr. (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Garrett Wilson (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Garrett Wilson outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by a projected 58 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games in 2025 compared to Garrett Wilson's 7. That durability gap means Brian Thomas Jr. contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Garrett Wilson scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Brian Thomas Jr. saw 91 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Garrett Wilson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBrian Thomas Jr.Garrett Wilson
PPG (Half-PPR)8.211.6
Games Played147
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)11581
Receptions4836
Rec/Game3.45.1
Receiving Yards707395
Rec Yds/Game50.556.4
Receiving TDs24
Targets9159
Target Share/Game6.58.4
Age2325
Experience1 yrs3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 13

Summary

11.6 PPG for Garrett Wilson versus 8.2 for Brian Thomas Jr. in 2025. The baseline favors Garrett Wilson, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Brian Thomas Jr. or Garrett Wilson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Garrett Wilson has the edge at 11.6 PPG compared to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 8.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Brian Thomas Jr. and Garrett Wilson average in 2025?

Brian Thomas Jr. averaged 8.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Garrett Wilson averaged 11.6 PPG over 7 games. That is a difference of 3.4 points per game.

When are Brian Thomas Jr. and Garrett Wilson's bye weeks in 2026?

Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX) has a bye in Week 7, and Garrett Wilson (NYJ) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Brian Thomas Jr. or Garrett Wilson a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Garrett Wilson outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by 3.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.