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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Mack HollinsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Brian Thomas Jr. is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.2 PPG to Mack Hollins's 6.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Brian Thomas Jr. is the better fantasy play this season.

Brian Thomas Jr. is the better play on a neutral week. 8.2 PPG with 728 yards gives a reliable baseline. Mack Hollins at 6.0 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Brian Thomas Jr. higher, but do not fade Mack Hollins entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRJacksonville Jaguars#47PPG LEADER
Brian Thomas Jr.
PPG
8.2
Games
14
Rec
48
Rec Yds
707
Rec TDs
2
Targets
91
Bye
Week 7
WRNew England Patriots#99
Mack Hollins
PPG
6.0
Games
15
Rec
46
Rec Yds
550
Rec TDs
2
Targets
65
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Brian Thomas Jr.
Mack Hollins

Head to Head

8.2 PPG6.0 PPG
14 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Brian Thomas Jr.: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #47 at the position). Mack Hollins: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Brian Thomas Jr. is producing at 37% of elite pace and Mack Hollins at 27%. That ranking gap means Brian Thomas Jr. carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Mack Hollins: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Brian Thomas Jr. and Mack Hollins for your lineup, you are not alone. Brian Thomas Jr. finished the 2025 season at 8.2 PPG for the Jacksonville Jaguars (14 games), and Mack Hollins averaged 6.0 for the New England Patriots (15 games).

That 2.2-point weekly advantage for Brian Thomas Jr. is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Target volume is the story here. Brian Thomas Jr. saw 91 targets in 2025, while Mack Hollins drew 65. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Brian Thomas Jr., even in weeks where Mack Hollins posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Brian Thomas Jr. sits Week 7 while Mack Hollins is off Week 14. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Brian Thomas Jr. (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Mack Hollins (age 32) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Brian Thomas Jr. outscored Mack Hollins by a projected 37 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Mack Hollins played 15 games in 2025 compared to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 14. That durability gap means Mack Hollins contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Brian Thomas Jr. scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Brian Thomas Jr. saw 91 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Brian Thomas Jr. is 9 years younger than Mack Hollins (23 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Mack Hollins: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBrian Thomas Jr.Mack Hollins
PPG (Half-PPR)8.26.0
Games Played1415
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)11590
Receptions4846
Rec/Game3.43.1
Receiving Yards707550
Rec Yds/Game50.536.7
Receiving TDs22
Targets9165
Target Share/Game6.54.3
Age2332
Experience1 yrs9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 14

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Brian Thomas Jr. at 8.2 PPG, 2.2 points per game above Mack Hollins's 6.0. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Brian Thomas Jr. or Mack Hollins in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Brian Thomas Jr. has the edge at 8.2 PPG compared to Mack Hollins's 6.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Brian Thomas Jr. and Mack Hollins average in 2025?

Brian Thomas Jr. averaged 8.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Mack Hollins averaged 6.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 2.2 points per game.

When are Brian Thomas Jr. and Mack Hollins's bye weeks in 2026?

Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX) has a bye in Week 7, and Mack Hollins (NE) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Brian Thomas Jr. or Mack Hollins a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Brian Thomas Jr. outscored Mack Hollins by 2.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.