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Brian Thomas Jr. vs Stefon DiggsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Stefon Diggs is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.9 PPG to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 8.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Stefon Diggs is the better fantasy play this season.

Stefon Diggs is the better play on a neutral week. 9.9 PPG with 1,013 yards gives a reliable baseline. Brian Thomas Jr. at 8.2 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Stefon Diggs higher, but do not fade Brian Thomas Jr. entirely.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRJacksonville Jaguars#47
Brian Thomas Jr.
PPG
8.2
Games
14
Rec
48
Rec Yds
707
Rec TDs
2
Targets
91
Bye
Week 7
WRNew England Patriots#30PPG LEADER
Stefon Diggs
PPG
9.9
Games
17
Rec
85
Rec Yds
1,013
Rec TDs
4
Targets
102
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Brian Thomas Jr.
Stefon Diggs

Head to Head

8.2 PPG9.9 PPG
14 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Brian Thomas Jr.: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #47 at the position). Stefon Diggs: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #30 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Brian Thomas Jr. is producing at 37% of elite pace and Stefon Diggs at 45%. That ranking gap means Stefon Diggs carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Stefon Diggs: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Brian Thomas Jr. and Stefon Diggs for your lineup, you are not alone. Brian Thomas Jr. finished the 2025 season at 8.2 PPG for the Jacksonville Jaguars (14 games), and Stefon Diggs averaged 9.9 for the New England Patriots (17 games).

That 1.7-point weekly advantage for Stefon Diggs is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Brian Thomas Jr. turned 91 targets into 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Stefon Diggs converted 102 looks into 1013 yards and 4 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

One scheduling note: Brian Thomas Jr. is off Week 7 and Stefon Diggs Week 11. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Brian Thomas Jr. (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Stefon Diggs (age 32) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Stefon Diggs outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by a projected 29 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Stefon Diggs played 17 games in 2025 compared to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 14. That durability gap means Stefon Diggs contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Stefon Diggs scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Stefon Diggs saw 102 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Brian Thomas Jr. is 9 years younger than Stefon Diggs (23 vs 32), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Stefon Diggs: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBrian Thomas Jr.Stefon Diggs
PPG (Half-PPR)8.29.9
Games Played1417
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)115168
Receptions4885
Rec/Game3.45.0
Receiving Yards7071,013
Rec Yds/Game50.559.6
Receiving TDs24
Targets91102
Target Share/Game6.56.0
Age2332
Experience1 yrs10 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 11

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Stefon Diggs at 9.9 PPG, 1.7 points per game above Brian Thomas Jr.'s 8.2. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Brian Thomas Jr. or Stefon Diggs in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Stefon Diggs has the edge at 9.9 PPG compared to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 8.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Brian Thomas Jr. and Stefon Diggs average in 2025?

Brian Thomas Jr. averaged 8.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Stefon Diggs averaged 9.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.7 points per game.

When are Brian Thomas Jr. and Stefon Diggs's bye weeks in 2026?

Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX) has a bye in Week 7, and Stefon Diggs (NE) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Brian Thomas Jr. or Stefon Diggs a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Stefon Diggs outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by 1.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.