Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Tory HortonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tory Horton is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.4 PPG to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 8.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tory Horton is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Tory Horton edges Brian Thomas Jr. by 0.2 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Tory Horton goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRJacksonville Jaguars#47

Brian Thomas Jr.

PPG

8.2

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

707

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

WRSeattle Seahawks#46PPG LEADER

Tory Horton

PPG

8.4

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

161

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 11

The Edge Chart

Brian Thomas Jr.

Tory Horton

Head to Head

8.2 PPG8.4 PPG

14 GP7 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Brian Thomas Jr.: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #47 at the position). Tory Horton: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #46 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Brian Thomas Jr. is producing at 37% of elite pace and Tory Horton at 38%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Tory Horton: The Full Breakdown

Brian Thomas Jr. (8.2 PPG) and Tory Horton (8.4 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two wide receivers are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for the Jacksonville Jaguars; Tory Horton suited up 7 times for the Seattle Seahawks.

A 0.2-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Target volume is the story here. Brian Thomas Jr. saw 91 targets in 2025, while Tory Horton drew 22. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Brian Thomas Jr., even in weeks where Tory Horton posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Brian Thomas Jr. sits Week 7 while Tory Horton is off Week 11. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Brian Thomas Jr. (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Tory Horton (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Tory Horton outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by a projected 3 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games in 2025 compared to Tory Horton's 7. That durability gap means Brian Thomas Jr. contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Tory Horton scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.7 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
•Brian Thomas Jr. saw 91 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Tory Horton: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Brian Thomas Jr.	Tory Horton
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.2	8.4
Games Played	14	7
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	115	59
Receptions	48	13
Rec/Game	3.4	1.9
Receiving Yards	707	161
Rec Yds/Game	50.5	23.0
Receiving TDs	2	5
Targets	91	22
Target Share/Game	6.5	3.1
Age	23	23
Experience	1 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 11

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Tory Horton holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 8.4 points per game. Brian Thomas Jr. averaged 8.2 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Brian Thomas Jr. or Tory Horton in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Tory Horton has the edge at 8.4 PPG compared to Brian Thomas Jr.'s 8.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Brian Thomas Jr. and Tory Horton average in 2025?▾

Brian Thomas Jr. averaged 8.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Tory Horton averaged 8.4 PPG over 7 games. That is a difference of 0.2 points per game.

When are Brian Thomas Jr. and Tory Horton's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX) has a bye in Week 7, and Tory Horton (SEA) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Brian Thomas Jr. or Tory Horton a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?▾

Tory Horton outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by 0.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.