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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Cade Otton vs Cole KmetWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Cade Otton is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 6.2 PPG to Cole Kmet's 4.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Cade Otton is the better fantasy play this season.

Cade Otton is the better play on a neutral week. 6.2 PPG with 572 yards gives a reliable baseline. Cole Kmet at 4.0 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Cade Otton higher, but do not fade Cole Kmet entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TETampa Bay Buccaneers#29PPG LEADER
Cade Otton
PPG
6.2
Games
15
Rec
59
Rec Yds
572
Rec TDs
1
Targets
81
Bye
Week 10
TEChicago Bears#99
Cole Kmet
PPG
4.0
Games
16
Rec
30
Rec Yds
347
Rec TDs
2
Targets
48
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Cade Otton
Cole Kmet

Head to Head

6.2 PPG4.0 PPG
15 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Cade Otton: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) TE (ranked #29 at the position). Cole Kmet: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Cade Otton is producing at 28% of elite pace and Cole Kmet at 18%. That ranking gap means Cade Otton carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Cade Otton vs Cole Kmet: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Cade Otton and Cole Kmet is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end put up 6.2 PPG in 2025 over 15 games; Cole Kmet of the Chicago Bears averaged 4.0 in 16. A 2.2-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 2.2 points favors Cade Otton, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one tight end to the other.

Cade Otton is the volume tight end in this matchup with 59 receptions for 572 yards, while Cole Kmet profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (2 scores on 30 catches). In weeks where Cole Kmet finds the end zone he out-scores Cade Otton, but the floor gap is real.

One scheduling note: Cade Otton is off Week 10 and Cole Kmet Week 7. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Cade Otton (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Cole Kmet (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Cade Otton outscored Cole Kmet by a projected 37 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Cole Kmet played 16 games in 2025 compared to Cade Otton's 15. That durability gap means Cole Kmet contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Cole Kmet scored 2 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Cade Otton saw 81 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Cade Otton vs Cole Kmet: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatCade OttonCole Kmet
PPG (Half-PPR)6.24.0
Games Played1516
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)9364
Receptions5930
Rec/Game3.91.9
Receiving Yards572347
Rec Yds/Game38.121.7
Receiving TDs12
Targets8148
Target Share/Game5.43.0
Age2727
Experience3 yrs6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 7

Summary

6.2 PPG for Cade Otton versus 4.0 for Cole Kmet in 2025. The baseline favors Cade Otton, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Cade Otton or Cole Kmet in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Cade Otton has the edge at 6.2 PPG compared to Cole Kmet's 4.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Cade Otton and Cole Kmet average in 2025?

Cade Otton averaged 6.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Cole Kmet averaged 4.0 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 2.2 points per game.

When are Cade Otton and Cole Kmet's bye weeks in 2026?

Cade Otton (TB) has a bye in Week 10, and Cole Kmet (CHI) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Cade Otton or Cole Kmet a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Cade Otton outscored Cole Kmet by 2.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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