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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Cade Otton vs Jake FergusonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jake Ferguson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.7 PPG to Cade Otton's 6.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jake Ferguson is the better fantasy play this season.

Jake Ferguson is the better play on a neutral week. 8.7 PPG with 601 yards gives a reliable baseline. Cade Otton at 6.2 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Jake Ferguson higher, but do not fade Cade Otton entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TETampa Bay Buccaneers#29
Cade Otton
PPG
6.2
Games
15
Rec
59
Rec Yds
572
Rec TDs
1
Targets
81
Bye
Week 10
TEDallas Cowboys#14PPG LEADER
Jake Ferguson
PPG
8.7
Games
17
Rec
82
Rec Yds
600
Rec TDs
8
Targets
102
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Cade Otton
Jake Ferguson

Head to Head

6.2 PPG8.7 PPG
15 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Cade Otton: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) TE (ranked #29 at the position). Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Cade Otton is producing at 28% of elite pace and Jake Ferguson at 40%. That ranking gap means Jake Ferguson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Cade Otton vs Jake Ferguson: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Cade Otton and Jake Ferguson is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end put up 6.2 PPG in 2025 over 15 games; Jake Ferguson of the Dallas Cowboys averaged 8.7 in 17. A 2.5-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 2.5 points favors Jake Ferguson, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one tight end to the other.

Jake Ferguson is the volume tight end in this matchup with 82 receptions for 600 yards, while Cade Otton profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (1 scores on 59 catches). In weeks where Cade Otton finds the end zone he out-scores Jake Ferguson, but the floor gap is real.

One scheduling note: Cade Otton is off Week 10 and Jake Ferguson Week 14. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Cade Otton (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Jake Ferguson outscored Cade Otton by a projected 42 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jake Ferguson played 17 games in 2025 compared to Cade Otton's 15. That durability gap means Jake Ferguson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Jake Ferguson saw 102 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Cade Otton vs Jake Ferguson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatCade OttonJake Ferguson
PPG (Half-PPR)6.28.7
Games Played1517
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)93148
Receptions5982
Rec/Game3.94.8
Receiving Yards572600
Rec Yds/Game38.135.3
Receiving TDs18
Targets81102
Target Share/Game5.46.0
Age2727
Experience3 yrs3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 14

Summary

8.7 PPG for Jake Ferguson versus 6.2 for Cade Otton in 2025. The baseline favors Jake Ferguson, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Cade Otton or Jake Ferguson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Jake Ferguson has the edge at 8.7 PPG compared to Cade Otton's 6.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Cade Otton and Jake Ferguson average in 2025?

Cade Otton averaged 6.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.5 points per game.

When are Cade Otton and Jake Ferguson's bye weeks in 2026?

Cade Otton (TB) has a bye in Week 10, and Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Cade Otton or Jake Ferguson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Jake Ferguson outscored Cade Otton by 2.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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