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Head to Head

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Cade Otton vs Noah GrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Cade Otton is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 6.2 PPG to Noah Gray's 4.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Cade Otton is the better fantasy play this season.

Cade Otton has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 1.6-PPG advantage is real (6.2 to 4.6), and Cade Otton's 1 touchdowns show scoring upside. Noah Gray is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TETampa Bay Buccaneers#29PPG LEADER
Cade Otton
PPG
6.2
Games
15
Rec
59
Rec Yds
572
Rec TDs
1
Targets
81
Bye
Week 10
TEKansas City Chiefs#99
Noah Gray
PPG
4.6
Games
17
Rec
38
Rec Yds
385
Rec TDs
2
Targets
50
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Cade Otton
Noah Gray

Head to Head

6.2 PPG4.6 PPG
15 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Cade Otton: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) TE (ranked #29 at the position). Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Cade Otton is producing at 28% of elite pace and Noah Gray at 21%. That ranking gap means Cade Otton carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Cade Otton vs Noah Gray: The Full Breakdown

Two tight ends who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Cade Otton (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) finished the 2025 season averaging 6.2 fantasy points per game in 15 games. Noah Gray (Kansas City Chiefs) came in at 4.6 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Cade Otton carries a 1.6-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Cade Otton is the volume tight end in this matchup with 59 receptions for 572 yards, while Noah Gray profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (2 scores on 38 catches). In weeks where Noah Gray finds the end zone he out-scores Cade Otton, but the floor gap is real.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Cade Otton sits Week 10 while Noah Gray is off Week 6. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Cade Otton (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Cade Otton outscored Noah Gray by a projected 27 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Noah Gray played 17 games in 2025 compared to Cade Otton's 15. That durability gap means Noah Gray contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Noah Gray scored 2 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Cade Otton saw 81 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Cade Otton vs Noah Gray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatCade OttonNoah Gray
PPG (Half-PPR)6.24.6
Games Played1517
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)9378
Receptions5938
Rec/Game3.92.2
Receiving Yards572385
Rec Yds/Game38.122.6
Receiving TDs12
Targets8150
Target Share/Game5.42.9
Age27-
Experience3 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Cade Otton holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 6.2 points per game. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Cade Otton or Noah Gray in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Cade Otton has the edge at 6.2 PPG compared to Noah Gray's 4.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Cade Otton and Noah Gray average in 2025?

Cade Otton averaged 6.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.6 points per game.

When are Cade Otton and Noah Gray's bye weeks in 2026?

Cade Otton (TB) has a bye in Week 10, and Noah Gray (KC) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Cade Otton or Noah Gray a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Cade Otton outscored Noah Gray by 1.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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