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Head to Head

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Cade Otton vs Theo JohnsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Theo Johnson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.0 PPG to Cade Otton's 6.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Theo Johnson is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Theo Johnson edges Cade Otton by 0.8 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Theo Johnson goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TETampa Bay Buccaneers#29
Cade Otton
PPG
6.2
Games
15
Rec
59
Rec Yds
572
Rec TDs
1
Targets
81
Bye
Week 10
TENew York Giants#24PPG LEADER
Theo Johnson
PPG
7.0
Games
15
Rec
45
Rec Yds
528
Rec TDs
5
Targets
74
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Cade Otton
Theo Johnson

Head to Head

6.2 PPG7.0 PPG
15 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Cade Otton: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) TE (ranked #29 at the position). Theo Johnson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #24 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Cade Otton is producing at 28% of elite pace and Theo Johnson at 32%. That ranking gap means Theo Johnson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Cade Otton vs Theo Johnson: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Cade Otton finished the 2025 season at 6.2 PPG over 15 games with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, while Theo Johnson clocked in at 7.0 across 15 appearances for the New York Giants. A 0.8-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Cade Otton had 59 catches for 572 yards; Theo Johnson posted 45 for 528. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

One scheduling note: Cade Otton is off Week 10 and Theo Johnson Week 8. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Cade Otton (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Theo Johnson (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Theo Johnson outscored Cade Otton by a projected 14 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Theo Johnson scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Cade Otton saw 81 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Cade Otton vs Theo Johnson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatCade OttonTheo Johnson
PPG (Half-PPR)6.27.0
Games Played1515
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)93105
Receptions5945
Rec/Game3.93.0
Receiving Yards572528
Rec Yds/Game38.135.2
Receiving TDs15
Targets8174
Target Share/Game5.44.9
Age2725
Experience3 yrs1 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Theo Johnson holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 7.0 points per game. Cade Otton averaged 6.2 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Cade Otton or Theo Johnson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Theo Johnson has the edge at 7.0 PPG compared to Cade Otton's 6.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Cade Otton and Theo Johnson average in 2025?

Cade Otton averaged 6.2 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Theo Johnson averaged 7.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 0.8 points per game.

When are Cade Otton and Theo Johnson's bye weeks in 2026?

Cade Otton (TB) has a bye in Week 10, and Theo Johnson (NYG) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Cade Otton or Theo Johnson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Theo Johnson outscored Cade Otton by 0.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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