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Head to Head

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Carson Wentz vs Justin HerbertWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Justin Herbert is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.9 PPG to Carson Wentz's 14.1 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Justin Herbert is the better fantasy play this season.

Justin Herbert is the better play on a neutral week. 17.9 PPG with 4,225 yards gives a reliable baseline. Carson Wentz at 14.1 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Justin Herbert higher, but do not fade Carson Wentz entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBMinnesota Vikings#26
Carson Wentz
PPG
14.1
Games
5
Pass Yds
1,216
Pass TDs
6
Bye
Week 6
QBLos Angeles Chargers#10PPG LEADER
Justin Herbert
PPG
17.9
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,727
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
498
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Carson Wentz
Justin Herbert

Head to Head

14.1 PPG17.9 PPG
5 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Carson Wentz: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #26 at the position). Justin Herbert: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #10 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Carson Wentz is producing at 64% of elite pace and Justin Herbert at 81%. That ranking gap means Justin Herbert carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Carson Wentz vs Justin Herbert: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Carson Wentz and Justin Herbert is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Minnesota Vikings quarterback put up 14.1 PPG in 2025 over 5 games; Justin Herbert of the Los Angeles Chargers averaged 17.9 in 16. A 3.8-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 3.8 points favors Justin Herbert, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Justin Herbert offers meaningful rushing upside with 498 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Carson Wentz (1216 passing yards, 6 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Carson Wentz sits Week 6 while Justin Herbert is off Week 7. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Justin Herbert is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Carson Wentz is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Carson Wentz (age 33) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Justin Herbert (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Justin Herbert outscored Carson Wentz by a projected 65 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Justin Herbert played 16 games in 2025 compared to Carson Wentz's 5. That durability gap means Justin Herbert contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Justin Herbert scored 28 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Justin Herbert added 498 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Justin Herbert is 5 years younger than Carson Wentz (28 vs 33), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Carson Wentz vs Justin Herbert: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatCarson WentzJustin Herbert
PPG (Half-PPR)14.117.9
Games Played516
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)71286
Passing Yards1,2163,727
Passing TDs626
Pass Yds/Game243.2232.9
Rushing Yards57498
Rushing TDs02
Total TDs628
TDs/Game1.21.8
Age3328
Experience9 yrs5 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 6Week 7

Summary

17.9 PPG for Justin Herbert versus 14.1 for Carson Wentz in 2025. The baseline favors Justin Herbert, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Carson Wentz or Justin Herbert in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Justin Herbert has the edge at 17.9 PPG compared to Carson Wentz's 14.1 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Carson Wentz and Justin Herbert average in 2025?

Carson Wentz averaged 14.1 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 5 games in 2025. Justin Herbert averaged 17.9 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 3.8 points per game.

When are Carson Wentz and Justin Herbert's bye weeks in 2026?

Carson Wentz (MIN) has a bye in Week 6, and Justin Herbert (LAC) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Carson Wentz or Justin Herbert a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Justin Herbert outscored Carson Wentz by 3.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.