Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Chase Brown vs Justice HillWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Chase Brown is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.6 PPG to Justice Hill's 6.1 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Chase Brown is the better fantasy play this season.

Chase Brown is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 14.6 PPG and 1,456 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Justice Hill (6.1 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Chase Brown as the starter and Justice Hill as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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RBCincinnati Bengals#9PPG LEADER

Chase Brown

PPG

14.6

Games

Rush Yds

1,019

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

437

Bye

Week 6

RBBaltimore Ravens#53

Justice Hill

PPG

6.1

Games

Rush Yds

Rush TDs

Rec

Rec Yds

169

Bye

Week 13

The Edge Chart

Chase Brown

Justice Hill

Head to Head

14.6 PPG6.1 PPG

17 GP9 GP

Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Chase Brown: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) RB (ranked #9 at the position). Justice Hill: Tier 5 (Deep League) RB (ranked #53 at the position). Among the top 50 running backs this season, Chase Brown is producing at 66% of elite pace and Justice Hill at 28%. That ranking gap means Chase Brown carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Chase Brown vs Justice Hill: The Full Breakdown

The numbers tell a clear story here. Chase Brown put up 14.6 fantasy points per game for the Cincinnati Bengals in 2025, while Justice Hill managed 6.1 across 9 games with the Baltimore Ravens. A 8.5-point weekly edge is substantial at the running back position.

Chase Brown carries a 8.5-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Chase Brown is the receiving back in this matchup, turning 69 targets into 437 yards, while Justice Hill profiles as a more traditional rusher with 93 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. In PPR and half-PPR formats Chase Brown carries the higher weekly floor. In standard leagues the gap tightens considerably.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Chase Brown sits Week 6 while Justice Hill is off Week 13. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Chase Brown at a discount because your league-mates undervalue running back production, do it. Justice Hill is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Chase Brown (age 26) is approaching the age where RB production historically drops. Sell-high window is open. Justice Hill (age 28, 6 years) is past the typical RB peak. Redraft value exceeds dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Chase Brown outscored Justice Hill by a projected 145 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Chase Brown played 17 games in 2025 compared to Justice Hill's 9. That durability gap means Chase Brown contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Chase Brown scored 11 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at running back.
•Chase Brown caught 69 passes in 2025. Pass-catching backs average 2-3 more PPG in half-PPR than their non-receiving counterparts.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Chase Brown vs Justice Hill: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Chase Brown	Justice Hill
PPG (Half-PPR)	14.6	6.1
Games Played	17	9
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	248	55
Rushing Yards	1,019	93
Rush Yds/Game	59.9	10.3
Rushing TDs	6	2
Receptions	69	21
Receiving Yards	437	169
Targets	88	27
Total TDs	11	3
Age	26	28
Experience	2 yrs	6 yrs
Bye Week	Week 6	Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Chase Brown holds the PPG edge with solid output at 14.6 points per game. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Chase Brown or Justice Hill in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Chase Brown has the edge at 14.6 PPG compared to Justice Hill's 6.1 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Chase Brown and Justice Hill average in 2025?▾

Chase Brown averaged 14.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Justice Hill averaged 6.1 PPG over 9 games. That is a difference of 8.5 points per game.

When are Chase Brown and Justice Hill's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Chase Brown (CIN) has a bye in Week 6, and Justice Hill (BAL) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Chase Brown or Justice Hill a better fantasy running back in 2026?▾

Chase Brown outscored Justice Hill by 8.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.