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Chris Godwin Jr. vs Deebo Samuel Sr.Who should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.5 PPG to Chris Godwin Jr.'s 7.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better fantasy play this season.

Deebo Samuel Sr. has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.1-PPG advantage is real (9.5 to 7.4), and Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 6 touchdowns show scoring upside. Chris Godwin Jr. is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRTampa Bay Buccaneers#54
Chris Godwin Jr.
PPG
7.4
Games
9
Rec
33
Rec Yds
360
Rec TDs
2
Targets
51
Bye
Week 10
WRWashington Commanders#36PPG LEADER
Deebo Samuel Sr.
PPG
9.5
Games
16
Rec
72
Rec Yds
727
Rec TDs
5
Targets
99
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Chris Godwin Jr.
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Head to Head

7.4 PPG9.5 PPG
9 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Chris Godwin Jr.: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #54 at the position). Deebo Samuel Sr.: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Chris Godwin Jr. is producing at 34% of elite pace and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 43%. That ranking gap means Deebo Samuel Sr. carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Chris Godwin Jr. vs Deebo Samuel Sr.: The Full Breakdown

Two wide receivers who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Chris Godwin Jr. (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) finished the 2025 season averaging 7.4 fantasy points per game in 9 games. Deebo Samuel Sr. (Washington Commanders) came in at 9.5 PPG over 16 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Deebo Samuel Sr. carries a 2.1-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Target volume is the story here. Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025, while Chris Godwin Jr. drew 51. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Deebo Samuel Sr., even in weeks where Chris Godwin Jr. posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Chris Godwin Jr. sits Week 10 while Deebo Samuel Sr. is off Week 7. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Chris Godwin Jr. (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Deebo Samuel Sr. (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Chris Godwin Jr. by a projected 36 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games in 2025 compared to Chris Godwin Jr.'s 9. That durability gap means Deebo Samuel Sr. contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. saw 99 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Chris Godwin Jr. vs Deebo Samuel Sr.: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatChris Godwin Jr.Deebo Samuel Sr.
PPG (Half-PPR)7.49.5
Games Played916
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)67152
Receptions3372
Rec/Game3.74.5
Receiving Yards360727
Rec Yds/Game40.045.4
Receiving TDs25
Targets5199
Target Share/Game5.76.2
Age3030
Experience8 yrs6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Deebo Samuel Sr. holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 9.5 points per game. Chris Godwin Jr. averaged 7.4 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Chris Godwin Jr. or Deebo Samuel Sr. in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Deebo Samuel Sr. has the edge at 9.5 PPG compared to Chris Godwin Jr.'s 7.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Chris Godwin Jr. and Deebo Samuel Sr. average in 2025?

Chris Godwin Jr. averaged 7.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 9 games in 2025. Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 2.1 points per game.

When are Chris Godwin Jr. and Deebo Samuel Sr.'s bye weeks in 2026?

Chris Godwin Jr. (TB) has a bye in Week 10, and Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Chris Godwin Jr. or Deebo Samuel Sr. a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Chris Godwin Jr. by 2.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.