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Chris Olave vs Deebo Samuel Sr.Who should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Chris Olave is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 13.6 PPG to Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 9.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Chris Olave is the better fantasy play this season.

Chris Olave is the better play on a neutral week. 13.6 PPG with 1,160 yards gives a reliable baseline. Deebo Samuel Sr. at 9.5 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Chris Olave higher, but do not fade Deebo Samuel Sr. entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRNew Orleans Saints#9PPG LEADER
Chris Olave
PPG
13.6
Games
16
Rec
100
Rec Yds
1,163
Rec TDs
9
Targets
156
Bye
Week 8
WRWashington Commanders#36
Deebo Samuel Sr.
PPG
9.5
Games
16
Rec
72
Rec Yds
727
Rec TDs
5
Targets
99
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Chris Olave
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Head to Head

13.6 PPG9.5 PPG
16 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Chris Olave: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) WR (ranked #9 at the position). Deebo Samuel Sr.: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Chris Olave is producing at 62% of elite pace and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 43%. That ranking gap means Chris Olave carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Chris Olave vs Deebo Samuel Sr.: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Chris Olave and Deebo Samuel Sr. is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The New Orleans Saints wide receiver put up 13.6 PPG in 2025 over 16 games; Deebo Samuel Sr. of the Washington Commanders averaged 9.5 in 16. A 4.1-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 4.1 points favors Chris Olave, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one wide receiver to the other.

Target volume is the story here. Chris Olave saw 156 targets in 2025, while Deebo Samuel Sr. drew 99. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Chris Olave, even in weeks where Deebo Samuel Sr. posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Chris Olave sits Week 8 while Deebo Samuel Sr. is off Week 7. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Chris Olave is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Deebo Samuel Sr. is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Chris Olave (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset. Deebo Samuel Sr. (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Chris Olave outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by a projected 70 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Chris Olave scored 9 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Chris Olave saw 156 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Chris Olave is 5 years younger than Deebo Samuel Sr. (25 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Chris Olave vs Deebo Samuel Sr.: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatChris OlaveDeebo Samuel Sr.
PPG (Half-PPR)13.69.5
Games Played1616
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)218152
Receptions10072
Rec/Game6.34.5
Receiving Yards1,163727
Rec Yds/Game72.745.4
Receiving TDs95
Targets15699
Target Share/Game9.86.2
Age2530
Experience3 yrs6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 7

Summary

13.6 PPG for Chris Olave versus 9.5 for Deebo Samuel Sr. in 2025. The baseline favors Chris Olave, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Chris Olave or Deebo Samuel Sr. in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Chris Olave has the edge at 13.6 PPG compared to Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 9.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Chris Olave and Deebo Samuel Sr. average in 2025?

Chris Olave averaged 13.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 4.1 points per game.

When are Chris Olave and Deebo Samuel Sr.'s bye weeks in 2026?

Chris Olave (NO) has a bye in Week 8, and Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Chris Olave or Deebo Samuel Sr. a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Chris Olave outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by 4.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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