Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Cole Kmet vs Dalton KincaidWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Cole Kmet's 4.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy play this season.

Dalton Kincaid is the better play on a neutral week. 8.9 PPG with 571 yards gives a reliable baseline. Cole Kmet at 4.0 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Dalton Kincaid higher, but do not fade Cole Kmet entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEChicago Bears#99

Cole Kmet

PPG

4.0

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

347

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

TEBuffalo Bills#11PPG LEADER

Dalton Kincaid

PPG

8.9

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

571

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Cole Kmet

Dalton Kincaid

Head to Head

4.0 PPG8.9 PPG

16 GP12 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Cole Kmet: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Cole Kmet is producing at 18% of elite pace and Dalton Kincaid at 40%. That ranking gap means Dalton Kincaid carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Cole Kmet vs Dalton Kincaid: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Cole Kmet and Dalton Kincaid for your lineup, you are not alone. Cole Kmet finished the 2025 season at 4.0 PPG for the Chicago Bears (16 games), and Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 for the Buffalo Bills (12 games).

That 4.9-point weekly advantage for Dalton Kincaid is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Cole Kmet had 30 catches for 347 yards; Dalton Kincaid posted 39 for 571. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Both share a Week 7 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking tight ends this deep on your bench, plan your replacement tight end early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Dalton Kincaid is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Cole Kmet is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Cole Kmet (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Dalton Kincaid outscored Cole Kmet by a projected 83 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Cole Kmet played 16 games in 2025 compared to Dalton Kincaid's 12. That durability gap means Cole Kmet contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Dalton Kincaid scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Dalton Kincaid saw 49 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
•Both players share a Week 7 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Cole Kmet vs Dalton Kincaid: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Cole Kmet	Dalton Kincaid
PPG (Half-PPR)	4.0	8.9
Games Played	16	12
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	64	107
Receptions	30	39
Rec/Game	1.9	3.3
Receiving Yards	347	571
Rec Yds/Game	21.7	47.6
Receiving TDs	2	5
Targets	48	49
Target Share/Game	3.0	4.1
Age	27	26
Experience	6 yrs	2 yrs
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 7

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Dalton Kincaid at 8.9 PPG, 4.9 points per game above Cole Kmet's 4.0. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Cole Kmet or Dalton Kincaid in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Dalton Kincaid has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Cole Kmet's 4.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Cole Kmet and Dalton Kincaid average in 2025?▾

Cole Kmet averaged 4.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 PPG over 12 games. That is a difference of 4.9 points per game.

Do Cole Kmet and Dalton Kincaid share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Cole Kmet and Dalton Kincaid share a Week 7 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at tight end for that week.

Is Cole Kmet or Dalton Kincaid a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Dalton Kincaid outscored Cole Kmet by 4.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.