Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Cole Kmet vs Noah GrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Noah Gray is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 4.6 PPG to Cole Kmet's 4.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Noah Gray is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Noah Gray and Cole Kmet are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.6-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEChicago Bears#99

Cole Kmet

PPG

4.0

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

347

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

TEKansas City Chiefs#99PPG LEADER

Noah Gray

PPG

4.6

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

385

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Cole Kmet

Noah Gray

Head to Head

4.0 PPG4.6 PPG

16 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Cole Kmet: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Cole Kmet is producing at 18% of elite pace and Noah Gray at 21%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Cole Kmet vs Noah Gray: The Full Breakdown

Cole Kmet (4.0 PPG) and Noah Gray (4.6 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two tight ends are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Cole Kmet played 16 games for the Chicago Bears; Noah Gray suited up 17 times for the Kansas City Chiefs.

A 0.6-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Cole Kmet had 30 catches for 347 yards; Noah Gray posted 38 for 385. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Cole Kmet sits Week 7 while Noah Gray is off Week 6. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Cole Kmet (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Noah Gray outscored Cole Kmet by a projected 10 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Noah Gray played 17 games in 2025 compared to Cole Kmet's 16. That durability gap means Noah Gray contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Cole Kmet scored 2 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Noah Gray saw 50 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Cole Kmet vs Noah Gray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Cole Kmet	Noah Gray
PPG (Half-PPR)	4.0	4.6
Games Played	16	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	64	78
Receptions	30	38
Rec/Game	1.9	2.2
Receiving Yards	347	385
Rec Yds/Game	21.7	22.6
Receiving TDs	2	2
Targets	48	50
Target Share/Game	3.0	2.9
Age	27	-
Experience	6 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 6

Summary

4.6 PPG for Noah Gray versus 4.0 for Cole Kmet in 2025. The baseline favors Noah Gray, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Cole Kmet or Noah Gray in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Noah Gray has the edge at 4.6 PPG compared to Cole Kmet's 4.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Cole Kmet and Noah Gray average in 2025?▾

Cole Kmet averaged 4.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.6 points per game.

When are Cole Kmet and Noah Gray's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Cole Kmet (CHI) has a bye in Week 7, and Noah Gray (KC) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Cole Kmet or Noah Gray a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Noah Gray outscored Cole Kmet by 0.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.