Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Cole Kmet vs Terrance FergusonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Cole Kmet is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 4.0 PPG to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Cole Kmet is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Cole Kmet and Terrance Ferguson are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.7-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEChicago Bears#99PPG LEADER

Cole Kmet

PPG

4.0

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

347

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

TELos Angeles Rams#99

Terrance Ferguson

PPG

3.3

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

231

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Cole Kmet

Terrance Ferguson

Head to Head

4.0 PPG3.3 PPG

16 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Cole Kmet: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Terrance Ferguson: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Cole Kmet is producing at 18% of elite pace and Terrance Ferguson at 15%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Cole Kmet vs Terrance Ferguson: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Cole Kmet and Terrance Ferguson is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 0.7 PPG in 2025, this is one of those tight end decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Cole Kmet averaged 4.0 PPG with the Chicago Bears across 16 games, and Terrance Ferguson posted 3.3 with the Los Angeles Rams in 14.

When two tight ends are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Cole Kmet is the volume tight end in this matchup with 30 receptions for 347 yards, while Terrance Ferguson profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (3 scores on 11 catches). In weeks where Terrance Ferguson finds the end zone he out-scores Cole Kmet, but the floor gap is real.

Cole Kmet has his bye in Week 7, and Terrance Ferguson rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Cole Kmet (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Terrance Ferguson (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Cole Kmet outscored Terrance Ferguson by a projected 12 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Cole Kmet played 16 games in 2025 compared to Terrance Ferguson's 14. That durability gap means Cole Kmet contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Terrance Ferguson scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Cole Kmet saw 48 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
•Terrance Ferguson is 4 years younger than Cole Kmet (23 vs 27), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Cole Kmet vs Terrance Ferguson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Cole Kmet	Terrance Ferguson
PPG (Half-PPR)	4.0	3.3
Games Played	16	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	64	46
Receptions	30	11
Rec/Game	1.9	0.8
Receiving Yards	347	231
Rec Yds/Game	21.7	16.5
Receiving TDs	2	3
Targets	48	25
Target Share/Game	3.0	1.8
Age	27	23
Experience	6 yrs	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 6

Summary

4.0 PPG for Cole Kmet versus 3.3 for Terrance Ferguson in 2025. The baseline favors Cole Kmet, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Cole Kmet or Terrance Ferguson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Cole Kmet has the edge at 4.0 PPG compared to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Cole Kmet and Terrance Ferguson average in 2025?▾

Cole Kmet averaged 4.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 0.7 points per game.

When are Cole Kmet and Terrance Ferguson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Cole Kmet (CHI) has a bye in Week 7, and Terrance Ferguson (LAR) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Cole Kmet or Terrance Ferguson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Cole Kmet outscored Terrance Ferguson by 0.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.