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Courtland Sutton vs Deebo Samuel Sr.Who should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Courtland Sutton is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.7 PPG to Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 9.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Courtland Sutton is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Courtland Sutton edges Deebo Samuel Sr. by 1.2 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Courtland Sutton goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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WRDenver Broncos#21PPG LEADER
Courtland Sutton
PPG
10.7
Games
17
Rec
74
Rec Yds
1,017
Rec TDs
7
Targets
124
Bye
Week 10
WRWashington Commanders#36
Deebo Samuel Sr.
PPG
9.5
Games
16
Rec
72
Rec Yds
727
Rec TDs
5
Targets
99
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Courtland Sutton
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Head to Head

10.7 PPG9.5 PPG
17 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Courtland Sutton: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #21 at the position). Deebo Samuel Sr.: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Courtland Sutton is producing at 49% of elite pace and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 43%. That ranking gap means Courtland Sutton carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Courtland Sutton vs Deebo Samuel Sr.: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Courtland Sutton finished the 2025 season at 10.7 PPG over 17 games with the Denver Broncos, while Deebo Samuel Sr. clocked in at 9.5 across 16 appearances for the Washington Commanders. A 1.2-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both are workload receivers with similar target shares. Courtland Sutton turned 124 targets into 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, while Deebo Samuel Sr. converted 99 looks into 727 yards and 5 scores. When target volume is this close, game script and defensive matchup typically decide the weekly winner.

One scheduling note: Courtland Sutton is off Week 10 and Deebo Samuel Sr. Week 7. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in wide receiver for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Courtland Sutton (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Deebo Samuel Sr. (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Courtland Sutton outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by a projected 20 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Courtland Sutton played 17 games in 2025 compared to Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 16. That durability gap means Courtland Sutton contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Courtland Sutton scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Courtland Sutton saw 124 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Courtland Sutton vs Deebo Samuel Sr.: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatCourtland SuttonDeebo Samuel Sr.
PPG (Half-PPR)10.79.5
Games Played1716
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)182152
Receptions7472
Rec/Game4.44.5
Receiving Yards1,017727
Rec Yds/Game59.845.4
Receiving TDs75
Targets12499
Target Share/Game7.36.2
Age3030
Experience7 yrs6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 7

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Courtland Sutton holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 10.7 points per game. Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Courtland Sutton or Deebo Samuel Sr. in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Courtland Sutton has the edge at 10.7 PPG compared to Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 9.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Courtland Sutton and Deebo Samuel Sr. average in 2025?

Courtland Sutton averaged 10.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Deebo Samuel Sr. averaged 9.5 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 1.2 points per game.

When are Courtland Sutton and Deebo Samuel Sr.'s bye weeks in 2026?

Courtland Sutton (DEN) has a bye in Week 10, and Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Courtland Sutton or Deebo Samuel Sr. a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Courtland Sutton outscored Deebo Samuel Sr. by 1.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.