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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Courtland Sutton vs Luther Burden IIIWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Courtland Sutton is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.7 PPG to Luther Burden III's 7.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Courtland Sutton is the better fantasy play this season.

Courtland Sutton has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.7-PPG advantage is real (10.7 to 7.0), and Courtland Sutton's 7 touchdowns show scoring upside. Luther Burden III is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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WRDenver Broncos#21PPG LEADER
Courtland Sutton
PPG
10.7
Games
17
Rec
74
Rec Yds
1,017
Rec TDs
7
Targets
124
Bye
Week 10
WRChicago Bears#60
Luther Burden III
PPG
7.0
Games
15
Rec
47
Rec Yds
652
Rec TDs
2
Targets
60
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Courtland Sutton
Luther Burden III

Head to Head

10.7 PPG7.0 PPG
17 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Courtland Sutton: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #21 at the position). Luther Burden III: Tier 5 (Deep League) WR (ranked #60 at the position). Among the top 50 wide receivers this season, Courtland Sutton is producing at 49% of elite pace and Luther Burden III at 32%. That ranking gap means Courtland Sutton carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Courtland Sutton vs Luther Burden III: The Full Breakdown

Two wide receivers who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Courtland Sutton (Denver Broncos) finished the 2025 season averaging 10.7 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Luther Burden III (Chicago Bears) came in at 7.0 PPG over 15 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Courtland Sutton carries a 3.7-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Target volume is the story here. Courtland Sutton saw 124 targets in 2025, while Luther Burden III drew 60. That workload gap usually translates into a higher weekly floor for Courtland Sutton, even in weeks where Luther Burden III posts the bigger ceiling game. Consistency-minded managers lean toward target share; boom-bust managers chase the upside.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 10 bye. That means you need a backup plan at wide receiver for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Courtland Sutton at a discount because your league-mates undervalue wide receiver production, do it. Luther Burden III is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Courtland Sutton (age 30) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Luther Burden III (age 22) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Courtland Sutton outscored Luther Burden III by a projected 63 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Courtland Sutton played 17 games in 2025 compared to Luther Burden III's 15. That durability gap means Courtland Sutton contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Courtland Sutton scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at wide receiver.
  • Courtland Sutton saw 124 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the wide receiver position.
  • Luther Burden III is 8 years younger than Courtland Sutton (22 vs 30), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Courtland Sutton vs Luther Burden III: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatCourtland SuttonLuther Burden III
PPG (Half-PPR)10.77.0
Games Played1715
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)182105
Receptions7447
Rec/Game4.43.1
Receiving Yards1,017652
Rec Yds/Game59.843.5
Receiving TDs72
Targets12460
Target Share/Game7.34.0
Age3022
Experience7 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 10

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Courtland Sutton holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 10.7 points per game. Luther Burden III averaged 7.0 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Courtland Sutton or Luther Burden III in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Courtland Sutton has the edge at 10.7 PPG compared to Luther Burden III's 7.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Courtland Sutton and Luther Burden III average in 2025?

Courtland Sutton averaged 10.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Luther Burden III averaged 7.0 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 3.7 points per game.

Do Courtland Sutton and Luther Burden III share a bye week?

Yes, both Courtland Sutton and Luther Burden III share a Week 10 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at wide receiver for that week.

Is Courtland Sutton or Luther Burden III a better fantasy wide receiver in 2026?

Courtland Sutton outscored Luther Burden III by 3.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.