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Dallas Goedert vs Hayden HurstWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dallas Goedert is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.3 PPG to Hayden Hurst's 3.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dallas Goedert is the better fantasy play this season.

Dallas Goedert is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 10.3 PPG and 591 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Hayden Hurst (3.7 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Dallas Goedert as the starter and Hayden Hurst as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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TEPhiladelphia Eagles#5PPG LEADER
Dallas Goedert
PPG
10.3
Games
15
Rec
60
Rec Yds
591
Rec TDs
11
Targets
82
Bye
Week 10
TELos Angeles Chargers#99
Hayden Hurst
PPG
3.7
Games
14
Rec
25
Rec Yds
238
Rec TDs
1
Targets
35
Bye
Week 5

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Dallas Goedert
Hayden Hurst

Head to Head

10.3 PPG3.7 PPG
15 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Dallas Goedert: Tier 1 (Elite) TE (ranked #5 at the position). Hayden Hurst: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dallas Goedert is producing at 47% of elite pace and Hayden Hurst at 17%. That ranking gap means Dallas Goedert carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dallas Goedert vs Hayden Hurst: The Full Breakdown

Dallas Goedert and Hayden Hurst are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Philadelphia Eagles tight end averaged 10.3 PPG in 2025, a full 6.6 points per game ahead of Hayden Hurst's 3.7 with the Los Angeles Chargers. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

Dallas Goedert carries a 6.6-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Dallas Goedert is the volume tight end in this matchup with 60 receptions for 591 yards, while Hayden Hurst profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (1 scores on 25 catches). In weeks where Hayden Hurst finds the end zone he out-scores Dallas Goedert, but the floor gap is real.

Dallas Goedert has his bye in Week 10, and Hayden Hurst rests in Week 5. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Dallas Goedert at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Hayden Hurst is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Dallas Goedert (age 31) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Hayden Hurst (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Dallas Goedert outscored Hayden Hurst by a projected 112 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Dallas Goedert played 15 games in 2025 compared to Hayden Hurst's 14. That durability gap means Dallas Goedert contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Dallas Goedert scored 11 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.7 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Dallas Goedert saw 82 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dallas Goedert vs Hayden Hurst: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDallas GoedertHayden Hurst
PPG (Half-PPR)10.33.7
Games Played1514
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)15552
Receptions6025
Rec/Game4.01.8
Receiving Yards591238
Rec Yds/Game39.417.0
Receiving TDs111
Targets8235
Target Share/Game5.52.5
Age31-
Experience7 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 5

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Dallas Goedert holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 10.3 points per game. Hayden Hurst averaged 3.7 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dallas Goedert or Hayden Hurst in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Dallas Goedert has the edge at 10.3 PPG compared to Hayden Hurst's 3.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dallas Goedert and Hayden Hurst average in 2025?

Dallas Goedert averaged 10.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Hayden Hurst averaged 3.7 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 6.6 points per game.

When are Dallas Goedert and Hayden Hurst's bye weeks in 2026?

Dallas Goedert (PHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Hayden Hurst (LAC) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dallas Goedert or Hayden Hurst a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Dallas Goedert outscored Hayden Hurst by 6.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.