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Head to Head

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Dallas Goedert vs Noah GrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dallas Goedert is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.3 PPG to Noah Gray's 4.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dallas Goedert is the better fantasy play this season.

Dallas Goedert is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 10.3 PPG and 591 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Noah Gray (4.6 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Dallas Goedert as the starter and Noah Gray as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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TEPhiladelphia Eagles#5PPG LEADER
Dallas Goedert
PPG
10.3
Games
15
Rec
60
Rec Yds
591
Rec TDs
11
Targets
82
Bye
Week 10
TEKansas City Chiefs#99
Noah Gray
PPG
4.6
Games
17
Rec
38
Rec Yds
385
Rec TDs
2
Targets
50
Bye
Week 6

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Dallas Goedert
Noah Gray

Head to Head

10.3 PPG4.6 PPG
15 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Dallas Goedert: Tier 1 (Elite) TE (ranked #5 at the position). Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dallas Goedert is producing at 47% of elite pace and Noah Gray at 21%. That ranking gap means Dallas Goedert carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dallas Goedert vs Noah Gray: The Full Breakdown

Dallas Goedert and Noah Gray are both viable fantasy tight ends heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Dallas Goedert averaged 10.3 PPG across 15 games with the Philadelphia Eagles, while Noah Gray posted 4.6 PPG in 17 appearances for the Kansas City Chiefs.

A 5.7-PPG gap gives Dallas Goedert the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Dallas Goedert is the volume tight end in this matchup with 60 receptions for 591 yards, while Noah Gray profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (2 scores on 38 catches). In weeks where Noah Gray finds the end zone he out-scores Dallas Goedert, but the floor gap is real.

Dallas Goedert has his bye in Week 10, and Noah Gray rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Dallas Goedert at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Noah Gray is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Dallas Goedert (age 31) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining. Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Dallas Goedert outscored Noah Gray by a projected 97 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Noah Gray played 17 games in 2025 compared to Dallas Goedert's 15. That durability gap means Noah Gray contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Dallas Goedert scored 11 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.7 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Dallas Goedert saw 82 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dallas Goedert vs Noah Gray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDallas GoedertNoah Gray
PPG (Half-PPR)10.34.6
Games Played1517
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)15578
Receptions6038
Rec/Game4.02.2
Receiving Yards591385
Rec Yds/Game39.422.6
Receiving TDs112
Targets8250
Target Share/Game5.52.9
Age31-
Experience7 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 6

Summary

Dallas Goedert outscored Noah Gray by 5.7 PPG in 2025 (10.3 to 4.6). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dallas Goedert or Noah Gray in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Dallas Goedert has the edge at 10.3 PPG compared to Noah Gray's 4.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dallas Goedert and Noah Gray average in 2025?

Dallas Goedert averaged 10.3 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 15 games in 2025. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 5.7 points per game.

When are Dallas Goedert and Noah Gray's bye weeks in 2026?

Dallas Goedert (PHI) has a bye in Week 10, and Noah Gray (KC) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dallas Goedert or Noah Gray a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Dallas Goedert outscored Noah Gray by 5.7 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.