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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Dalton Kincaid vs Dawson KnoxWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Dawson Knox's 5.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy play this season.

Dalton Kincaid is the better play on a neutral week. 8.9 PPG with 571 yards gives a reliable baseline. Dawson Knox at 5.4 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Dalton Kincaid higher, but do not fade Dawson Knox entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEBuffalo Bills#11PPG LEADER
Dalton Kincaid
PPG
8.9
Games
12
Rec
39
Rec Yds
571
Rec TDs
5
Targets
49
Bye
Week 7
TEBuffalo Bills#33
Dawson Knox
PPG
5.4
Games
16
Rec
36
Rec Yds
417
Rec TDs
4
Targets
49
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Dalton Kincaid
Dawson Knox

Head to Head

8.9 PPG5.4 PPG
12 GP16 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Dawson Knox: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) TE (ranked #33 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dalton Kincaid is producing at 40% of elite pace and Dawson Knox at 25%. That ranking gap means Dalton Kincaid carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dalton Kincaid vs Dawson Knox: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Buffalo Bills tight end put up 8.9 PPG in 2025 over 12 games; Dawson Knox of the Buffalo Bills averaged 5.4 in 16. A 3.5-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 3.5 points favors Dalton Kincaid, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one tight end to the other.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Dalton Kincaid had 39 catches for 571 yards; Dawson Knox posted 36 for 417. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Both share a Week 7 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking tight ends this deep on your bench, plan your replacement tight end early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Dalton Kincaid is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Dawson Knox is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Dawson Knox (age 29) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Dalton Kincaid outscored Dawson Knox by a projected 60 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Dawson Knox played 16 games in 2025 compared to Dalton Kincaid's 12. That durability gap means Dawson Knox contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Dalton Kincaid scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Dawson Knox saw 49 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
  • Both players share a Week 7 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid vs Dawson Knox: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDalton KincaidDawson Knox
PPG (Half-PPR)8.95.4
Games Played1216
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)10786
Receptions3936
Rec/Game3.32.3
Receiving Yards571417
Rec Yds/Game47.626.1
Receiving TDs54
Targets4949
Target Share/Game4.13.1
Age2629
Experience2 yrs6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 7

Summary

8.9 PPG for Dalton Kincaid versus 5.4 for Dawson Knox in 2025. The baseline favors Dalton Kincaid, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Dawson Knox in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Dalton Kincaid has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Dawson Knox's 5.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox average in 2025?

Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Dawson Knox averaged 5.4 PPG over 16 games. That is a difference of 3.5 points per game.

Do Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox share a bye week?

Yes, both Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox share a Week 7 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at tight end for that week.

Is Dalton Kincaid or Dawson Knox a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Dalton Kincaid outscored Dawson Knox by 3.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.