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Dalton Kincaid vs Hayden HurstWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Hayden Hurst's 3.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dalton Kincaid is the better fantasy play this season.

Dalton Kincaid is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 8.9 PPG and 571 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Hayden Hurst (3.7 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Dalton Kincaid as the starter and Hayden Hurst as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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TEBuffalo Bills#11PPG LEADER
Dalton Kincaid
PPG
8.9
Games
12
Rec
39
Rec Yds
571
Rec TDs
5
Targets
49
Bye
Week 7
TELos Angeles Chargers#99
Hayden Hurst
PPG
3.7
Games
14
Rec
25
Rec Yds
238
Rec TDs
1
Targets
35
Bye
Week 5

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Dalton Kincaid
Hayden Hurst

Head to Head

8.9 PPG3.7 PPG
12 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Dalton Kincaid: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #11 at the position). Hayden Hurst: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Dalton Kincaid is producing at 40% of elite pace and Hayden Hurst at 17%. That ranking gap means Dalton Kincaid carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Dalton Kincaid vs Hayden Hurst: The Full Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid and Hayden Hurst are both viable fantasy tight ends heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 PPG across 12 games with the Buffalo Bills, while Hayden Hurst posted 3.7 PPG in 14 appearances for the Los Angeles Chargers.

A 5.2-PPG gap gives Dalton Kincaid the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Dalton Kincaid had 39 catches for 571 yards; Hayden Hurst posted 25 for 238. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Dalton Kincaid has his bye in Week 7, and Hayden Hurst rests in Week 5. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Dalton Kincaid at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Hayden Hurst is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Dalton Kincaid (age 26) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Hayden Hurst (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

  • Dalton Kincaid outscored Hayden Hurst by a projected 88 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Hayden Hurst played 14 games in 2025 compared to Dalton Kincaid's 12. That durability gap means Hayden Hurst contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Dalton Kincaid scored 5 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Dalton Kincaid saw 49 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Dalton Kincaid vs Hayden Hurst: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDalton KincaidHayden Hurst
PPG (Half-PPR)8.93.7
Games Played1214
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)10752
Receptions3925
Rec/Game3.31.8
Receiving Yards571238
Rec Yds/Game47.617.0
Receiving TDs51
Targets4935
Target Share/Game4.12.5
Age26-
Experience2 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 5

Summary

Dalton Kincaid outscored Hayden Hurst by 5.2 PPG in 2025 (8.9 to 3.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Dalton Kincaid or Hayden Hurst in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Dalton Kincaid has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Hayden Hurst's 3.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Dalton Kincaid and Hayden Hurst average in 2025?

Dalton Kincaid averaged 8.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 12 games in 2025. Hayden Hurst averaged 3.7 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 5.2 points per game.

When are Dalton Kincaid and Hayden Hurst's bye weeks in 2026?

Dalton Kincaid (BUF) has a bye in Week 7, and Hayden Hurst (LAC) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Dalton Kincaid or Hayden Hurst a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Dalton Kincaid outscored Hayden Hurst by 5.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.